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ConocoPhillips (BSP:COPH34) Beneish M-Score : -3.14 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is ConocoPhillips Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.14 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for ConocoPhillips's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:COPH34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.02   Med: -3.06   Max: -0.17
Current: -3.14

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of ConocoPhillips was -0.17. The lowest was -4.02. And the median was -3.06.


ConocoPhillips Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for ConocoPhillips's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ConocoPhillips Beneish M-Score Chart

ConocoPhillips Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.18 -0.22 -2.30 -2.82 -3.14

ConocoPhillips Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.82 -3.33 -3.55 -3.27 -3.14

Competitive Comparison of ConocoPhillips's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, ConocoPhillips's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ConocoPhillips's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, ConocoPhillips's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ConocoPhillips's Beneish M-Score falls into.



ConocoPhillips Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of ConocoPhillips for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.039+0.528 * 1.1765+0.404 * 1.1061+0.892 * 0.6944+0.115 * 0.9504
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.5762+4.679 * -0.116016-0.327 * 0.9376
=-3.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$26,822 Mil.
Revenue was 72169.154 + 70376.475 + 59948.049 + 77144.575 = R$279,638 Mil.
Gross Profit was 23494.541 + 22801.978 + 18633.354 + 25792.987 = R$90,723 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$70,214 Mil.
Total Assets was R$470,008 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$343,202 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$41,116 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$3,501 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$49,022 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$87,525 Mil.
Net Income was 14733.699 + 13818.483 + 10833.458 + 15209.112 = R$54,595 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 303.788 + 2676.775 + 2766.609 + 3849.155 = R$9,596 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 25787.647 + 26891.222 + 18706.16 + 28142.066 = R$99,527 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$37,179 Mil.
Revenue was 97344.133 + 110183.767 + 106814.38 + 88390.817 = R$402,733 Mil.
Gross Profit was 31152.431 + 42425.968 + 42279.535 + 37855.475 = R$153,713 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$98,346 Mil.
Total Assets was R$492,171 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$340,248 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$38,510 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$3,198 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$67,388 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$85,112 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(26821.505 / 279638.253) / (37179.395 / 402733.097)
=0.095915 / 0.092318
=1.039

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(153713.409 / 402733.097) / (90722.86 / 279638.253)
=0.381676 / 0.324429
=1.1765

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (70214.134 + 343201.591) / 470008.415) / (1 - (98346.005 + 340248.116) / 492170.636)
=0.120408 / 0.108858
=1.1061

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=279638.253 / 402733.097
=0.6944

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(38509.643 / (38509.643 + 340248.116)) / (41115.744 / (41115.744 + 343201.591))
=0.101674 / 0.106984
=0.9504

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3500.582 / 279638.253) / (3198.336 / 402733.097)
=0.012518 / 0.007942
=1.5762

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((87525.127 + 49022.499) / 470008.415) / ((85111.86 + 67387.654) / 492170.636)
=0.290522 / 0.309851
=0.9376

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(54594.752 - 9596.327 - 99527.095) / 470008.415
=-0.116016

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

ConocoPhillips has a M-score of -3.21 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


ConocoPhillips Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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ConocoPhillips (BSP:COPH34) Business Description

Address
925 North Eldridge Parkway, Houston, TX, USA, 77079
ConocoPhillips is a U.S.-based independent exploration and production firm. In 2022, it produced 1.2 million barrels per day of oil and natural gas liquids and 3.1 billion cubic feet per day of natural gas, primarily from Alaska and the Lower 48 in the United States and Norway in Europe and several countries in Asia-Pacific and the Middle East. Proven reserves at year-end 2022 were 6.6 billion barrels of oil equivalent.

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