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Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (BSP:N1CL34) Beneish M-Score

: -3.06 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.06 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:N1CL34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.19   Med: -2.55   Max: 98.15
Current: -3.06

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings was 98.15. The lowest was -5.19. And the median was -2.55.


Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 -4.83 98.15 -5.19 -3.06

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.19 -2.67 -3.30 -3.20 -3.06

Competitive Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.4731+0.528 * 0.3398+0.404 * 0.7668+0.892 * 1.6961+0.115 * 1.001
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.5552+4.679 * -0.093916-0.327 * 0.988
=-3.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$1,373 Mil.
Revenue was 9733.237 + 12524.726 + 10704.797 + 9489.751 = R$42,453 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3256.618 + 5201.888 + 3989.169 + 2820.566 = R$15,268 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$6,434 Mil.
Total Assets was R$95,512 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$80,520 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$4,392 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$6,675 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$29,588 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$60,337 Mil.
Net Income was -521.755 + 1708.138 + 417.981 + -829.839 = R$775 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -172.796 + 59.561 + -39.038 + -46.643 = R$-199 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1269.048 + 1037.616 + 5015.241 + 2621.66 = R$9,944 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$1,711 Mil.
Revenue was 7968.439 + 8471.088 + 5992.534 + 2597.382 = R$25,029 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1571.889 + 1974.803 + 574.756 + -1062.327 = R$3,059 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$9,824 Mil.
Total Assets was R$97,343 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$76,144 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$4,157 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$7,089 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$26,515 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$66,252 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1373.272 / 42452.511) / (1711.427 / 25029.443)
=0.032348 / 0.068377
=0.4731

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3059.121 / 25029.443) / (15268.241 / 42452.511)
=0.122221 / 0.359655
=0.3398

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6434.163 + 80519.844) / 95511.752) / (1 - (9823.947 + 76144.146) / 97342.528)
=0.089599 / 0.11685
=0.7668

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=42452.511 / 25029.443
=1.6961

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4157.387 / (4157.387 + 76144.146)) / (4391.583 / (4391.583 + 80519.844))
=0.051772 / 0.05172
=1.001

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6675.016 / 42452.511) / (7088.544 / 25029.443)
=0.157235 / 0.283208
=0.5552

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((60336.857 + 29588.427) / 95511.752) / ((66251.511 + 26514.715) / 97342.528)
=0.94151 / 0.952988
=0.988

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(774.525 - -198.916 - 9943.565) / 95511.752
=-0.093916

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings has a M-score of -3.15 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (BSP:N1CL34) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7665 Corporate Center Drive, Miami, FL, USA, 33126
Norwegian Cruise Line is the world's third-largest cruise company by berths (at more than 66,000), operating 31 ships across three brands (Norwegian, Oceania, and Regent Seven Seas), offering both freestyle and luxury cruising. The company had redeployed its entire fleet as of May 2022. With six passenger vessels on order among its brands through 2028 (representing 16,500 incremental berths), Norwegian is increasing capacity faster than its peers, expanding its brand globally. Norwegian sails to around 700 global destinations.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (BSP:N1CL34) Headlines

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