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Natura &Co Holding (BSP:NTCO3) Beneish M-Score : -1.71 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Natura &Co Holding Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.71 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Natura &Co Holding's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:NTCO3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.67   Med: -2.33   Max: -0.85
Current: -1.71

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Natura &Co Holding was -0.85. The lowest was -2.67. And the median was -2.33.


Natura &Co Holding Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Natura &Co Holding's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Natura &Co Holding Beneish M-Score Chart

Natura &Co Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - -0.85 -2.34 -2.67

Natura &Co Holding Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.52 -2.67 -2.50 -2.62 -1.71

Competitive Comparison of Natura &Co Holding's Beneish M-Score

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Natura &Co Holding's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natura &Co Holding's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Natura &Co Holding's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natura &Co Holding's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Natura &Co Holding Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Natura &Co Holding for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0382+0.528 * 0.9471+0.404 * 0.9505+0.892 * 0.9742+0.115 * 0.7541
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.017+4.679 * 0.154522-0.327 * 0.6607
=-1.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$3,407 Mil.
Revenue was 7517.26 + 7773.542 + 7320.156 + 12229.314 = R$34,840 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4906.267 + 5085.594 + 4825.473 + 8291.224 = R$23,109 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$17,463 Mil.
Total Assets was R$50,571 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$5,833 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$2,639 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$19,548 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$9,610 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$7,568 Mil.
Net Income was 7024.429 + -731.85 + -652.428 + -890.037 = R$4,750 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -142.769 + -102.198 + -541.279 + -904.201 = R$-1,690 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1118.055 + -331.289 + -1624.291 + 1699.891 = R$-1,374 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$3,368 Mil.
Revenue was 8401.159 + 8108.248 + 7610.902 + 11643.223 = R$35,764 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5223.83 + 5014.805 + 4728.116 + 7499.159 = R$22,466 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$15,685 Mil.
Total Assets was R$54,501 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$7,891 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$2,423 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$19,730 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$12,304 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$15,719 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3406.585 / 34840.272) / (3368.184 / 35763.532)
=0.097777 / 0.094179
=1.0382

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(22465.91 / 35763.532) / (23108.558 / 34840.272)
=0.628179 / 0.663271
=0.9471

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (17463.105 + 5832.598) / 50570.786) / (1 - (15685.267 + 7891.104) / 54500.819)
=0.539345 / 0.567413
=0.9505

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=34840.272 / 35763.532
=0.9742

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2423.083 / (2423.083 + 7891.104)) / (2639.122 / (2639.122 + 5832.598))
=0.234927 / 0.311521
=0.7541

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(19547.743 / 34840.272) / (19730.08 / 35763.532)
=0.561067 / 0.551682
=1.017

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7567.718 + 9610.365) / 50570.786) / ((15718.757 + 12303.579) / 54500.819)
=0.339684 / 0.514164
=0.6607

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4750.114 - -1690.447 - -1373.744) / 50570.786
=0.154522

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Natura &Co Holding has a M-score of -1.71 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Natura &Co Holding Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Natura &Co Holding (BSP:NTCO3) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Avenida Alexandre Colares, No. 1188, Sala A17-Bloco A, Parque Anhanguera, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 05106-000
Natura &Co Holding SA is a multinational cosmetics, hygiene, and beauty company. It operates in Asia, Europe, North America, Oceania, & Brazil under the Natura, The Body Shop, & Aesop brand names. It has four operating segments. Natura & Co LATAM segment includes all operations under Natura, Avon, Aesop & The Body Shop brands located in Brazil & Latin America, which account for a majority portion of operating revenues; Avon International segment includes all operations under Avon brand, The Body Shop International segment includes all operations under The Body Shop brand, & Aesop International segment includes all operations under Aesop brand.

Natura &Co Holding (BSP:NTCO3) Headlines

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