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FedEx (FDX) Beneish M-Score

: -2.91 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.91 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for FedEx's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FDX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.11   Med: -2.68   Max: -2.21
Current: -2.91

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of FedEx was -2.21. The lowest was -3.11. And the median was -2.68.


FedEx Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for FedEx's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

FedEx Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.72 -2.69 -2.78 -2.91

FedEx Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.91 - - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, FedEx's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FedEx Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, FedEx's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FedEx's Beneish M-Score falls into.



FedEx Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of FedEx for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8908+0.528 * 1.0145+0.404 * 0.9473+0.892 * 0.9641+0.115 * 1.0081
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.061933-0.327 * 0.9961
=-2.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (May23) TTM:Last Year (May22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $10,188 Mil.
Revenue was $90,155 Mil.
Gross Profit was $19,166 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $18,610 Mil.
Total Assets was $87,143 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $58,045 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $4,176 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $13,586 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $35,816 Mil.
Net Income was $3,972 Mil.
Gross Profit was $521 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $8,848 Mil.
Total Receivables was $11,863 Mil.
Revenue was $93,512 Mil.
Gross Profit was $20,167 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $20,365 Mil.
Total Assets was $85,994 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $54,704 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3,970 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $14,274 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $34,669 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10188 / 90155) / (11863 / 93512)
=0.113005 / 0.126861
=0.8908

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(20167 / 93512) / (19166 / 90155)
=0.215662 / 0.212589
=1.0145

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (18610 + 58045) / 87143) / (1 - (20365 + 54704) / 85994)
=0.120354 / 0.127044
=0.9473

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=90155 / 93512
=0.9641

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3970 / (3970 + 54704)) / (4176 / (4176 + 58045))
=0.067662 / 0.067116
=1.0081

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 90155) / (0 / 93512)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((35816 + 13586) / 87143) / ((34669 + 14274) / 85994)
=0.566907 / 0.569144
=0.9961

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3972 - 521 - 8848) / 87143
=-0.061933

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

FedEx has a M-score of -2.91 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


FedEx (FDX) Business Description

Address
942 South Shady Grove Road, Memphis, TN, USA, 38120
FedEx pioneered overnight delivery in 1973 and remains the world's largest express package provider. In its fiscal 2023, which ended May 2023, FedEx derived 47% of revenue from its express division, 37% from ground, and 11% from freight, its asset-based less-than-truckload shipping segment. The remainder comes from other services, including FedEx Office, which provides document production/shipping, and FedEx Logistics, which provides global forwarding. FedEx acquired Dutch parcel delivery firm TNT Express in 2016. TNT was previously the fourth-largest global parcel delivery provider.
Executives
John W Dietrich officer: EVP CHIEF FINANCIAL OFF
Amy B Lane director 1626 EAST JEFFERSON ST, ROCKVILLE MD 20852
Erwin Guy M Ii officer: STAFF VP INT PRIN ACCT OFFICER 942 S SHADY GROVE ROAD, MEMPHIS TN 38120
Jennifer L Johnson officer: CVP PRIN ACCT OFFICER 942 S. SHADY GROVE ROAD, MEMPHIS TN 38120
Michael C. Lenz officer: EVP CHIEF FINANCIAL OFF 942 S. SHADY GROVE ROAD, MEMPHIS TN 38120
Robert B Carter officer: EVP CHIEF INFO OFFICER 942 S SHADY GROVE RD, MEMPHIS TN 38120
Tracy B Brightman officer: EVP - Chief People Officer 942 S SHADY GROVE ROAD, MEMPHIS TN 38120
Stephen E Gorman director 370 KNOLLWOOD STREET, SUITE 500, WINSTON SALEM NC 27103
Susan C Schwab director 2101 VAN MUNCHING HALL, COLLEGE PARK MD 20742
Richard W Smith officer: President/CEO FedEx Express 3610 HACKS CROSS ROAD, BUILDING A 3RD FLOOR, MEMPHIS TN 38125
Frederick W Smith director, officer: CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD 942 S SHADY GROVE RD, MEMPHIS TN 38120
Brie Carere officer: EVP/Chief Mkt & Comm Officer 942 S. SHADY GROVE ROAD, MEMPHIS TN 38120
David P Steiner director 1001 FANNIN ST, STE 4000, HOUSTON TX 77002
R Brad Martin director
Paul S Walsh director 8 HENRIETTA PLACE, LONDON X0 94111

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