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Holmen AB (FRA:HL9C) Beneish M-Score : -2.67 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Holmen AB Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Holmen AB's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:HL9C' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.8   Med: -2.5   Max: -1.89
Current: -2.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Holmen AB was -1.89. The lowest was -2.80. And the median was -2.50.


Holmen AB Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Holmen AB's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Holmen AB Beneish M-Score Chart

Holmen AB Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.06 -1.89 -2.40 -2.19 -2.67

Holmen AB Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.67 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Holmen AB's Beneish M-Score

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Holmen AB's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Holmen AB's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Holmen AB's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Holmen AB's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Holmen AB Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Holmen AB for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8298+0.528 * 1.0798+0.404 * 1.0454+0.892 * 0.9353+0.115 * 1.0975
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.026443-0.327 * 0.8242
=-2.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €311 Mil.
Revenue was €2,038 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,083 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €941 Mil.
Total Assets was €7,127 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,251 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €122 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €577 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €184 Mil.
Net Income was €331 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €519 Mil.
Total Receivables was €401 Mil.
Revenue was €2,179 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,250 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,520 Mil.
Total Assets was €7,408 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,970 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €122 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €681 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €278 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(311.191 / 2037.808) / (400.959 / 2178.713)
=0.152709 / 0.184035
=0.8298

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1250.45 / 2178.713) / (1083.136 / 2037.808)
=0.57394 / 0.53152
=1.0798

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (941.262 + 3251.105) / 7126.65) / (1 - (1519.969 + 2969.989) / 7407.553)
=0.411734 / 0.393868
=1.0454

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2037.808 / 2178.713
=0.9353

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(122.343 / (122.343 + 2969.989)) / (121.58 / (121.58 + 3251.105))
=0.039563 / 0.036048
=1.0975

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 2037.808) / (0 / 2178.713)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((184.158 + 576.522) / 7126.65) / ((278.161 + 681.121) / 7407.553)
=0.106737 / 0.129501
=0.8242

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(330.501 - 0 - 518.95) / 7126.65
=-0.026443

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Holmen AB has a M-score of -2.69 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Holmen AB Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Holmen AB Business Description

Address
Strandvagen 1, P.O. Box 5407, Stockholm, SWE, SE-114 84
Holmen AB produces and sells timber, wood products, a variety of paper products, and electricity generated through renewable energy sources. The company organizes itself into five segments based on product type: Forest, Paperboard, Paper, Wood Products, and Renewable Energy. The company's product portfolio includes logs, biofuel, paperboard for consumer packaging, paper for books, construction timber, and renewable energy from hydro and wind power. The company's customer segment is composed of printing firms, sawmills, pulp mills, paper mills, the construction industry, and the packaging industry, among others. The vast majority of revenue comes from the company's paper and paperboard segments combined, and it earns the majority of its revenue in Europe.

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