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PENN Entertainment (FRA:PN1) Beneish M-Score

: -2.31 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.31 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PENN Entertainment's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:PN1' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.94   Med: -2.41   Max: -1.58
Current: -2.31

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PENN Entertainment was -1.58. The lowest was -2.94. And the median was -2.41.


PENN Entertainment Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PENN Entertainment's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PENN Entertainment Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.75 -2.51 -1.58 -2.39 -2.31

PENN Entertainment Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.39 -1.57 -1.91 -2.03 -2.31

Competitive Comparison

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, PENN Entertainment's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PENN Entertainment Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, PENN Entertainment's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PENN Entertainment's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PENN Entertainment Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PENN Entertainment for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2953+0.528 * 1.1627+0.404 * 1.0259+0.892 * 0.9686+0.115 * 1.1949
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4178+4.679 * -0.031906-0.327 * 0.9982
=-2.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €293 Mil.
Revenue was 1279.582 + 1517.378 + 1545.84 + 1562.862 = €5,906 Mil.
Gross Profit was 290.872 + 608.113 + 642.777 + 653.333 = €2,195 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,521 Mil.
Total Assets was €14,731 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €9,005 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €404 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,451 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,366 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €10,189 Mil.
Net Income was -328.378 + -679.138 + 72.363 + 480.45 = €-455 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -111.232 + -858.573 + 11.999 + 547.137 = €-411 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -77.762 + 203.329 + 162.448 + 137.952 = €426 Mil.
Total Receivables was €233 Mil.
Revenue was 1496.806 + 1641.25 + 1539.047 + 1420.294 = €6,097 Mil.
Gross Profit was 632.48 + 674.579 + 687.269 + 640.776 = €2,635 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,901 Mil.
Total Assets was €16,522 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €10,024 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €542 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,056 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,094 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €11,890 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(292.523 / 5905.662) / (233.168 / 6097.397)
=0.049533 / 0.038241
=1.2953

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2635.104 / 6097.397) / (2195.095 / 5905.662)
=0.432169 / 0.371693
=1.1627

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1521.303 + 9004.665) / 14730.871) / (1 - (1900.65 + 10024.147) / 16521.982)
=0.285448 / 0.278247
=1.0259

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5905.662 / 6097.397
=0.9686

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(541.58 / (541.58 + 10024.147)) / (403.594 / (403.594 + 9004.665))
=0.051258 / 0.042898
=1.1949

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1450.728 / 5905.662) / (1056.469 / 6097.397)
=0.24565 / 0.173266
=1.4178

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((10188.512 + 1366.33) / 14730.871) / ((11889.68 + 1093.813) / 16521.982)
=0.784396 / 0.785831
=0.9982

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-454.703 - -410.669 - 425.967) / 14730.871
=-0.031906

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PENN Entertainment has a M-score of -2.34 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PENN Entertainment Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PENN Entertainment (FRA:PN1) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
825 Berkshire Boulevard, Suite 200, Wyomissing, PA, USA, 19610
Penn Entertainment's origins date back to its 1972 racetrack opening in Pennsylvania. Today, Penn operates 43 properties across 20 states and 12 brands (such as Hollywood Casino and Ameristar), with land-based casinos representing 90% of total sales in 2022 (10% was from the interactive segment, which includes sports, iGaming, and media revenue). The retail portfolio generates high-30% EBITDAR margins and helps position the company to obtain licenses for the digital wagering markets. Additionally, Penn's media assets, theScore and ESPN (starting with its partnership launch Nov. 14, 2023), provide access to sports betting/iGaming technology and clientele, helping it form a leading digital position.

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