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Groupon (Groupon) Beneish M-Score

: -1.95 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.95 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Groupon's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

GRPN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.35   Med: -2.77   Max: -1.65
Current: -1.95

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Groupon was -1.65. The lowest was -3.35. And the median was -2.77.


Groupon Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Groupon's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => -2.87 [6] => -2.81 [7] => -1.65 [8] => -2.32 [9] => -1.95 )
Groupon Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.87 -2.81 -1.65 -2.32 -1.95

Groupon Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.32 -2.94 -2.63 -2.65 -1.95

Competitive Comparison

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, Groupon's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Groupon Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Groupon's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Groupon's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Groupon Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Groupon for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2549+0.528 * 0.9971+0.404 * 1.1001+0.892 * 0.8595+0.115 * 0.7809
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8504+4.679 * 0.0881-0.327 * 1.0849
=-1.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $55.7 Mil.
Revenue was 137.716 + 126.474 + 129.109 + 121.611 = $514.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was 122.31 + 110.678 + 112.965 + 104.711 = $450.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $255.6 Mil.
Total Assets was $571.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $32.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $51.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $460.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $369.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $228.9 Mil.
Net Income was 27.702 + -41.358 + -12.607 + -29.147 = $-55.4 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 19.667 + -39.921 + -2.898 + -4.574 = $-27.7 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 54.5 + -13.855 + -42.31 + -76.32 = $-78.0 Mil.
Total Receivables was $51.7 Mil.
Revenue was 148.159 + 144.39 + 153.216 + 153.32 = $599.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was 129.129 + 125.722 + 133.972 + 134.001 = $522.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $367.4 Mil.
Total Assets was $793.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $68.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $62.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $630.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $531.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $234.2 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(55.722 / 514.91) / (51.662 / 599.085)
=0.108217 / 0.086235
=1.2549

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(522.824 / 599.085) / (450.664 / 514.91)
=0.872704 / 0.875229
=0.9971

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (255.583 + 32.727) / 570.956) / (1 - (367.351 + 68.858) / 793.117)
=0.49504 / 0.450007
=1.1001

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=514.91 / 599.085
=0.8595

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(62.663 / (62.663 + 68.858)) / (51.218 / (51.218 + 32.727))
=0.476449 / 0.610138
=0.7809

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(460.91 / 514.91) / (630.606 / 599.085)
=0.895127 / 1.052615
=0.8504

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((228.852 + 369.154) / 570.956) / ((234.233 + 531.44) / 793.117)
=1.047377 / 0.965397
=1.0849

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-55.41 - -27.726 - -77.985) / 570.956
=0.0881

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Groupon has a M-score of -1.95 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Groupon Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Groupon (Groupon) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
600 West Chicago Avenue, Suite 400, Chicago, IL, USA, 60654
Groupon acts as the middleman between consumers and merchants, offering a variety of products and services at discounts via its online store. It offers consumers daily deals from local merchants. It generates revenue from the take rate on the vouchers' purchase and/or usage. More than 60% of Groupon's revenue comes from North America.
Executives
Dusan Senkypl other: See Footnote 1 and Remarks JESTRABI 493, OSNICE, JESENICE 2N 252 42
Jason Harinstein director C/O ARK GLOBAL ACQUISITION CORP., 4235 HILLSBORO PIKE, SUITE 300, NASHVILLE TN 37215
Kyle Netzly officer: Interim CAO 600 W CHICAGO AVE, CHICAGO IL 60654
Jiri Ponrt officer: Chief Financial Officer 600 W CHICAGO AVE, CHICAGO IL 60654
Jan Barta other: See Footnote 1 NA BATERIICH 104/35, BREVNOV, PRAGUE 2N 16200
Pale Fire Capital Sicav A.s. 10 percent owner ZATECKA 55/14, JOSEFOV, PRAGUE 2N 110 00
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. 10 percent owner 21 ST. CLAIR AVENUE EAST, SUITE 1100, TORONTO A6 M4T 1L9
Xavier Majic 10 percent owner 21 ST. CLAIR AVENUE EAST, SUITE 1100, TORONTO A6 A6 M4T 1L9
Rpd Opportunity Fund Lp 10 percent owner 767 THIRD AVE, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Rpd Fund Management Llc 10 percent owner 767 THIRD AVE, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Ahmet H Okumus 10 percent owner C/O OKUMUS FUND MANAGEMENT LTD., 767 THIRD AVENUE, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Pale Fire Capital Se other: See Footnote 1 and Remarks ZATECKA 55/14, JOSEFOV, PRAGUE 2N 110 00
Kerrie Dvorak officer: Interim CAO 600 W. CHICAGO AVENUE, SUITE 400, CHICAGO IL 60654
Robert J Bass director C/O GROUPON, INC., 600 WEST CHICAGO AVENUE, SUITE 620, CHICAGO IL 60654
Deborah Wahl director 600 WEST CHICAGO AVENUE, SUITE 400, CHICAGO IL 60654

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