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Melco International Development (HKSE:00200) Beneish M-Score

: -2.34 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.34 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Melco International Development's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00200' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.47   Med: -2.26   Max: 48.64
Current: -2.34

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Melco International Development was 48.64. The lowest was -3.47. And the median was -2.26.


Melco International Development Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Melco International Development's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Melco International Development Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -0.84 -3.47 -2.34 -

Melco International Development Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.47 - -2.34 - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Melco International Development's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Melco International Development Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Melco International Development's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Melco International Development's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Melco International Development Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Melco International Development for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4412+0.528 * 1.3791+0.404 * 1.0463+0.892 * 0.6756+0.115 * 1.1461
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.095+4.679 * -0.03145-0.327 * 1.138
=-2.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$626 Mil.
Revenue was HK$10,566 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,828 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$17,304 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$97,092 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$53,081 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$4,586 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$557 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$8,659 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$72,394 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-5,113 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-2,060 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$643 Mil.
Revenue was HK$15,639 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$3,732 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$15,214 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$94,193 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$54,216 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$5,437 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$753 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$12,732 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$56,365 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(625.688 / 10565.657) / (642.608 / 15638.846)
=0.059219 / 0.04109
=1.4412

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3731.625 / 15638.846) / (1828.112 / 10565.657)
=0.238613 / 0.173024
=1.3791

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (17303.952 + 53080.907) / 97091.618) / (1 - (15213.655 + 54216.434) / 94193.277)
=0.275068 / 0.262898
=1.0463

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10565.657 / 15638.846
=0.6756

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5437.161 / (5437.161 + 54216.434)) / (4586 / (4586 + 53080.907))
=0.091146 / 0.079526
=1.1461

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(557.412 / 10565.657) / (753.443 / 15638.846)
=0.052757 / 0.048178
=1.095

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((72393.916 + 8659.067) / 97091.618) / ((56365.07 + 12731.552) / 94193.277)
=0.834809 / 0.733562
=1.138

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-5113.127 - 0 - -2059.592) / 97091.618
=-0.03145

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Melco International Development has a M-score of -2.34 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Melco International Development Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Melco International Development (HKSE:00200) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
60 Wyndham Street, 38th Floor, The Centrium, Central, Hong Kong, HKG
Melco International Development Ltd together with its subsidiaries is a developer, owner and operator of international network of casino gaming and entertainment casino resorts. Its operating segments include Casino and Hospitality segment, and the Others segment. The Casino and Hospitality segment comprises operation of casino and provision of hospitality through Melco Resorts and ICR Group. The Others segment comprises other gaming, leisure and entertainment, and property investments. The company's operations are mainly located in Macau, Hong Kong, the Philippines, Cyprus, and Japan. Geographically, the company derives maximum revenue from Macau.

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