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Zijin Mining Group Co (HKSE:02899) Beneish M-Score

: -2.78 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Zijin Mining Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02899' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.19   Med: -2.63   Max: -1.21
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Zijin Mining Group Co was -1.21. The lowest was -3.19. And the median was -2.63.


Zijin Mining Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Zijin Mining Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Zijin Mining Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -2.36 -3.19 -1.21 -2.78

Zijin Mining Group Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.45 -2.62 -2.72 -2.78 -

Competitive Comparison

For the Gold subindustry, Zijin Mining Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zijin Mining Group Co Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Zijin Mining Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zijin Mining Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Zijin Mining Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Zijin Mining Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9196+0.528 * 0.9538+0.404 * 1.0056+0.892 * 0.9995+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9415+4.679 * -0.042939-0.327 * 1.0135
=-2.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$16,219 Mil.
Revenue was 81229.953 + 74809.534 + 80103.306 + 82458.705 = HK$318,601 Mil.
Gross Profit was 13488.275 + 13422.849 + 12960.779 + 11360.496 = HK$51,232 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$89,730 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$386,622 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$130,770 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$3,107 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$94,950 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$110,547 Mil.
Net Income was 6801.163 + 5419.125 + 6289.028 + 5316.12 = HK$23,825 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 8877.336 + 12181.281 + 10400.399 + 8967.527 = HK$40,427 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$17,647 Mil.
Revenue was 85361.956 + 73857.115 + 80214.524 + 79342.311 = HK$318,776 Mil.
Gross Profit was 13256.089 + 11942.298 + 10235.83 + 13456.502 = HK$48,891 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$91,701 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$359,198 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$114,024 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$3,302 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$83,994 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$104,389 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(16219.183 / 318601.498) / (17647.35 / 318775.906)
=0.050907 / 0.05536
=0.9196

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(48890.719 / 318775.906) / (51232.399 / 318601.498)
=0.15337 / 0.160804
=0.9538

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (89730.302 + 130770.059) / 386621.92) / (1 - (91701.243 + 114024.337) / 359197.954)
=0.429674 / 0.427264
=1.0056

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=318601.498 / 318775.906
=0.9995

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 114024.337)) / (0 / (0 + 130770.059))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3106.694 / 318601.498) / (3301.553 / 318775.906)
=0.009751 / 0.010357
=0.9415

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((110546.829 + 94950.265) / 386621.92) / ((104388.891 + 83994.138) / 359197.954)
=0.53152 / 0.524455
=1.0135

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(23825.436 - 0 - 40426.543) / 386621.92
=-0.042939

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Zijin Mining Group Co has a M-score of -2.77 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Zijin Mining Group Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Zijin Mining Group Co (HKSE:02899) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No.1 Zijin Road, Zijin Tower, Fujian Province, Shanghang County, Longyan, CHN, 364200
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd is focusing on the exploration and development of gold and copper and other metal mineral resources. The company's operating segment includes Gold bullion; Processed, refined, and trading gold; Gold concentrates; Electrolytic copper & electrodeposited copper; Refined copper; Copper concentrates; Other concentrates; Zinc bullion, Environmental protection, trading, and others. It generates maximum revenue from the Processed, refined & trading gold segment. The Processed, refined, and trading gold segment is engaged in the production of gold bullion by processing gold concentrates produced by the group or purchased from external suppliers and gold bullion in the business of physical gold trading. Geographically, the majority is derived from Mainland China.

Zijin Mining Group Co (HKSE:02899) Headlines

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