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Creative China Holdings (HKSE:08368) Beneish M-Score

: 0.88 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 0.88 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Creative China Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:08368' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -11.56   Med: -4.34   Max: 2.77
Current: 0.88

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Creative China Holdings was 2.77. The lowest was -11.56. And the median was -4.34.


Creative China Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Creative China Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Creative China Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.29 -1.57 -1.31 0.88 -

Creative China Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.88 - - - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, Creative China Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Creative China Holdings Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Creative China Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Creative China Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Creative China Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Creative China Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.9459+0.528 * 1.4926+0.404 * 0.6408+0.892 * 2.348+0.115 * 1.7131
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.4682+4.679 * 0.19844-0.327 * 0.7852
=0.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$200.2 Mil.
Revenue was HK$170.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$81.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$368.0 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$380.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$5.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$4.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$21.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$180.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1.6 Mil.
Net Income was HK$54.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-20.7 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$43.8 Mil.
Revenue was HK$72.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$51.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$289.3 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$299.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$0.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$3.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$19.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$182.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$0.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(200.193 / 170.509) / (43.815 / 72.619)
=1.174091 / 0.603354
=1.9459

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(51.575 / 72.619) / (81.132 / 170.509)
=0.710214 / 0.475822
=1.4926

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (368.032 + 4.975) / 380.503) / (1 - (289.338 + 0.823) / 299.364)
=0.0197 / 0.030742
=0.6408

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=170.509 / 72.619
=2.348

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3.395 / (3.395 + 0.823)) / (4.409 / (4.409 + 4.975))
=0.804884 / 0.469842
=1.7131

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(21.1 / 170.509) / (19.195 / 72.619)
=0.123747 / 0.264325
=0.4682

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1.623 + 180.421) / 380.503) / ((0 + 182.417) / 299.364)
=0.47843 / 0.609348
=0.7852

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(54.805 - 0 - -20.702) / 380.503
=0.19844

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Creative China Holdings has a M-score of 0.88 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Creative China Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Creative China Holdings (HKSE:08368) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 5A Xiangjun Nanli 2nd Alley, Room 1901, 19th Floor, Yulin Building, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN
Creative China Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company in China. It has five operating segments program production, concert and event organization, mobile application development, and operation; and artist management. The program production segment provides film and television program original script creation, adaption, production & licensing, and related services. The company's geographical segments are Hong Kong and China.

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