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BHP Group (LSE:BHP) Beneish M-Score

: -2.79 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.79 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for BHP Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:BHP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.24   Med: -2.84   Max: -2.63
Current: -2.79

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of BHP Group was -2.63. The lowest was -3.24. And the median was -2.84.


BHP Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for BHP Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

BHP Group Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 -2.63 -2.69 -2.73 -2.79

BHP Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.73 - -2.79 -

Competitive Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, BHP Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BHP Group Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, BHP Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BHP Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



BHP Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of BHP Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0848+0.528 * 1.0945+0.404 * 1.1055+0.892 * 0.8063+0.115 * 1.2889
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.263+4.679 * -0.070358-0.327 * 1.0462
=-2.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was £4,041 Mil.
Revenue was £42,623 Mil.
Gross Profit was £30,020 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £18,494 Mil.
Total Assets was £80,226 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £56,880 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £4,008 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £5,736 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £15,082 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £12,016 Mil.
Net Income was £10,233 Mil.
Gross Profit was £1,067 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £14,811 Mil.
Total Receivables was £4,619 Mil.
Revenue was £52,860 Mil.
Gross Profit was £40,749 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £23,275 Mil.
Total Assets was £77,275 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £49,772 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £4,615 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £5,633 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £13,738 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £11,210 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4040.784 / 42623.064) / (4619.468 / 52859.576)
=0.094803 / 0.087391
=1.0848

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(40749.408 / 52859.576) / (30019.968 / 42623.064)
=0.770899 / 0.704313
=1.0945

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (18493.992 + 56879.856) / 80226.432) / (1 - (23275.168 + 49771.54) / 77274.792)
=0.060486 / 0.054715
=1.1055

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=42623.064 / 52859.576
=0.8063

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4614.596 / (4614.596 + 49771.54)) / (4008.312 / (4008.312 + 56879.856))
=0.084849 / 0.065831
=1.2889

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5736.456 / 42623.064) / (5632.844 / 52859.576)
=0.134586 / 0.106562
=1.263

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((12016.224 + 15082.056) / 80226.432) / ((11210.472 + 13738.228) / 77274.792)
=0.337772 / 0.322857
=1.0462

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(10233.432 - 1066.824 - 14811.192) / 80226.432
=-0.070358

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

BHP Group has a M-score of -2.84 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


BHP Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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BHP Group (LSE:BHP) Business Description

Address
171 Collins Street, Level 18, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3000
BHP is a global diversified miner mainly supplying iron ore and copper. The merger of BHP Limited and Billiton PLC created the present-day BHP Group. The dual listed structure from the 2001 BHP and Billiton merger was collapsed in 2022. Major assets include Pilbara iron ore and Escondida copper. Onshore U.S. oil and gas assets were sold in 2018 and the remaining Petroleum assets were spun off and merged with Woodside in 2022, with BHP vesting the Woodside shares it received to BHP shareholders. BHP is growing its nickel business to supply more battery grade nickel and is also entering the potash market through the development of its Jansen mine in Canada. It also purchased copper miner Oz Minerals in fiscal 2023.