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Lanxess AG (LTS:0H7I) Beneish M-Score

: -2.24 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.24 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lanxess AG's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0H7I' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.3   Med: -2.65   Max: -0.7
Current: -2.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lanxess AG was -0.70. The lowest was -3.30. And the median was -2.65.


Lanxess AG Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lanxess AG's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lanxess AG Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.84 -2.79 -2.39 -2.09 -2.46

Lanxess AG Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 -2.46 -2.98 -1.69 -2.24

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Lanxess AG's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lanxess AG Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Lanxess AG's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lanxess AG's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Lanxess AG Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lanxess AG for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7074+0.528 * 1.1663+0.404 * 1.4096+0.892 * 0.9303+0.115 * 0.8835
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0912+4.679 * 0.036876-0.327 * 0.4716
=-2.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €695 Mil.
Revenue was 1601 + 1778 + 1899 + 1973 = €7,251 Mil.
Gross Profit was 289 + 311 + 436 + 454 = €1,490 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,079 Mil.
Total Assets was €10,576 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,663 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €571 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,335 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,155 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0 Mil.
Net Income was -131 + 1371 + -44 + -21 = €1,175 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 390 + 66 + 161 + 168 = €785 Mil.
Total Receivables was €1,056 Mil.
Revenue was 2185 + 1999 + 1931 + 1679 = €7,794 Mil.
Gross Profit was 527 + 484 + 472 + 385 = €1,868 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,453 Mil.
Total Assets was €12,265 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,835 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €524 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,315 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,840 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(695 / 7251) / (1056 / 7794)
=0.095849 / 0.135489
=0.7074

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1868 / 7794) / (1490 / 7251)
=0.239672 / 0.205489
=1.1663

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3079 + 2663) / 10576) / (1 - (5453 + 2835) / 12265)
=0.457073 / 0.324256
=1.4096

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7251 / 7794
=0.9303

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(524 / (524 + 2835)) / (571 / (571 + 2663))
=0.155999 / 0.176562
=0.8835

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1335 / 7251) / (1315 / 7794)
=0.184113 / 0.16872
=1.0912

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 1155) / 10576) / ((0 + 2840) / 12265)
=0.10921 / 0.231553
=0.4716

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1175 - 0 - 785) / 10576
=0.036876

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lanxess AG has a M-score of -2.24 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Lanxess AG Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Lanxess AG (LTS:0H7I) Business Description

Address
Kennedyplatz 1, Cologne, DEU, 50569
Lanxess is a German chemical company that was originally spun out of Bayer. Lanxess has visibly decommoditised its portfolio in recent years by divesting its synthetic rubber business and is moving toward becoming a specialty chemicals company in the fields of consumer protection chemicals, specialty additives, intermediates, and engineering plastics.

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