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Lumen Technologies (LTS:0HVP) Beneish M-Score

: -2.90 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.9 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lumen Technologies's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0HVP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.01   Med: -2.92   Max: -2.22
Current: -2.9

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lumen Technologies was -2.22. The lowest was -3.01. And the median was -2.92.


Lumen Technologies Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lumen Technologies's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lumen Technologies Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.99 -3.00 -3.01 -2.88 -2.90

Lumen Technologies Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.88 -2.81 -2.79 -2.82 -2.90

Competitive Comparison

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Lumen Technologies's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lumen Technologies Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Lumen Technologies's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lumen Technologies's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Lumen Technologies Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lumen Technologies for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2651+0.528 * 1.0797+0.404 * 0.6057+0.892 * 0.8329+0.115 * 1.1015
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2475+4.679 * -0.061967-0.327 * 1.2375
=-2.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,610 Mil.
Revenue was 3517 + 3641 + 3661 + 3738 = $14,557 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1780 + 1791 + 1921 + 1921 = $7,413 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,775 Mil.
Total Assets was $34,018 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $19,758 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,985 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,198 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,534 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $19,831 Mil.
Net Income was -1995 + -78 + -8736 + 511 = $-10,298 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -2026 + -35 + -8781 + 492 = $-10,350 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 784 + 881 + -100 + 595 = $2,160 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,528 Mil.
Revenue was 3800 + 4390 + 4612 + 4676 = $17,478 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1974 + 2391 + 2554 + 2691 = $9,610 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,451 Mil.
Total Assets was $45,612 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $19,166 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3,239 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,078 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,897 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $20,418 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1610 / 14557) / (1528 / 17478)
=0.1106 / 0.087424
=1.2651

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(9610 / 17478) / (7413 / 14557)
=0.549834 / 0.50924
=1.0797

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4775 + 19758) / 34018) / (1 - (5451 + 19166) / 45612)
=0.278823 / 0.460296
=0.6057

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=14557 / 17478
=0.8329

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3239 / (3239 + 19166)) / (2985 / (2985 + 19758))
=0.144566 / 0.131249
=1.1015

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3198 / 14557) / (3078 / 17478)
=0.219688 / 0.176107
=1.2475

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((19831 + 3534) / 34018) / ((20418 + 4897) / 45612)
=0.686842 / 0.555007
=1.2375

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-10298 - -10350 - 2160) / 34018
=-0.061967

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lumen Technologies has a M-score of -2.90 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Lumen Technologies Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Lumen Technologies (LTS:0HVP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
100 CenturyLink Drive, Monroe, LA, USA, 71203
With 450,000 route miles of fiber, including over 35,000 route miles of subsea fiber connecting Europe, Asia, and Latin America, Lumen Technologies is one of the United States' largest telecommunications carriers serving global enterprises. Its merger with Level 3 in 2017 and divestiture of much of its incumbent local exchange carrier, or ILEC, business in 2022 has shifted the company's operations away from its legacy consumer business and toward enterprises (now nearly 80% of revenue). Lumen offers businesses a full menu of communications services, providing colocation and data center services, data transportation, and end-user phone and internet service. On the consumer side, Lumen provides broadband and phone service across 37 states, where it has 4.5 million broadband customers.

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