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Fastenal Co (LTS:0IKW) Beneish M-Score

: -2.65 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fastenal Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0IKW' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.65   Med: -2.28   Max: -1.62
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Fastenal Co was -1.62. The lowest was -2.65. And the median was -2.28.


Fastenal Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fastenal Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fastenal Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.52 -2.16 -2.22 -2.27 -2.65

Fastenal Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.41 -2.51 -2.62 -2.65 -

Competitive Comparison

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Fastenal Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fastenal Co Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Fastenal Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fastenal Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Fastenal Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Fastenal Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0198+0.528 * 1.0058+0.404 * 0.9491+0.892 * 1.0346+0.115 * 1.0385
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9973+4.679 * -0.049022-0.327 * 0.8475
=-2.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,213 Mil.
Revenue was 1895.1 + 1758.6 + 1845.9 + 1883.1 = $7,383 Mil.
Gross Profit was 861.6 + 799.4 + 847.6 + 857.5 = $3,366 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,084 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,533 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,291 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $176 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,841 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $638 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $386 Mil.
Net Income was 297.7 + 266.4 + 295.5 + 298 = $1,158 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 335.6 + 354 + 388.1 + 302.1 = $1,380 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,150 Mil.
Revenue was 1859.1 + 1695.6 + 1802.4 + 1778.6 = $7,136 Mil.
Gross Profit was 850 + 768.4 + 826.5 + 827.6 = $3,273 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,162 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,577 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,247 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $177 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,784 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $863 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $357 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1213.2 / 7382.7) / (1149.8 / 7135.7)
=0.16433 / 0.161133
=1.0198

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3272.5 / 7135.7) / (3366.1 / 7382.7)
=0.45861 / 0.455944
=1.0058

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3083.5 + 1291.1) / 4532.7) / (1 - (3161.5 + 1247.3) / 4577)
=0.03488 / 0.036749
=0.9491

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7382.7 / 7135.7
=1.0346

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(177.2 / (177.2 + 1247.3)) / (175.7 / (175.7 + 1291.1))
=0.124395 / 0.119785
=1.0385

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1840.5 / 7382.7) / (1783.8 / 7135.7)
=0.249299 / 0.249982
=0.9973

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((386 + 637.9) / 4532.7) / ((356.7 + 863.2) / 4577)
=0.225892 / 0.266528
=0.8475

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1157.6 - 0 - 1379.8) / 4532.7
=-0.049022

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Fastenal Co has a M-score of -2.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Fastenal Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Fastenal Co (LTS:0IKW) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2001 Theurer Boulevard, Winona, MN, USA, 55987-1500
Fastenal opened its first fastener store in 1967 in Winona, Minnesota. Since then, Fastenal has greatly expanded its footprint as well as its products and services. Today, Fastenal serves its 400,000 active customers through approximately 1,600 branches, over 1,700 on-site locations, and 14 distribution centers. Since 1993, the company has added other product categories, but fasteners remain its largest category at about 30%-35% of sales. Fastenal also offers customers supply-chain solutions, such as vending and vendor-managed inventory.

Fastenal Co (LTS:0IKW) Headlines

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