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Molson Coors Beverage Co (LTS:0K2K) Beneish M-Score

: -2.67 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Molson Coors Beverage Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0K2K' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.96   Med: -2.67   Max: -1.94
Current: -2.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Molson Coors Beverage Co was -1.94. The lowest was -2.96. And the median was -2.67.


Molson Coors Beverage Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Molson Coors Beverage Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Molson Coors Beverage Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 -2.80 -2.30 -2.55 -2.67

Molson Coors Beverage Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.55 -2.56 -2.56 -2.59 -2.67

Competitive Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Molson Coors Beverage Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Molson Coors Beverage Co Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Molson Coors Beverage Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Molson Coors Beverage Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Molson Coors Beverage Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Molson Coors Beverage Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9284+0.528 * 0.9149+0.404 * 0.9846+0.892 * 1.0936+0.115 * 1.0478
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9707+4.679 * -0.038002-0.327 * 0.9668
=-2.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $879 Mil.
Revenue was 2790.8 + 3298.4 + 3266.6 + 2346.3 = $11,702 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1033 + 1346.2 + 1218.9 + 770.7 = $4,369 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,849 Mil.
Total Assets was $26,375 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,445 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $683 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,780 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,093 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,312 Mil.
Net Income was 103.3 + 430.7 + 342.4 + 72.5 = $949 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -138.2 + -6.6 + 11.7 + 5.3 = $-128 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 474.5 + 710.1 + 891 + 3.4 = $2,079 Mil.
Total Receivables was $866 Mil.
Revenue was 2629.5 + 2935.2 + 2921.7 + 2214.6 = $10,701 Mil.
Gross Profit was 923.7 + 983.7 + 820 + 927.8 = $3,655 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,638 Mil.
Total Assets was $25,868 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,223 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $685 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,619 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,375 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $6,165 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(879.4 / 11702.1) / (866.2 / 10701)
=0.075149 / 0.080946
=0.9284

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3655.2 / 10701) / (4368.8 / 11702.1)
=0.341576 / 0.373335
=0.9149

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2848.5 + 4444.5) / 26375.1) / (1 - (2638 + 4222.8) / 25868.3)
=0.723489 / 0.73478
=0.9846

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11702.1 / 10701
=1.0936

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(684.8 / (684.8 + 4222.8)) / (682.8 / (682.8 + 4444.5))
=0.139539 / 0.13317
=1.0478

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2779.9 / 11702.1) / (2618.8 / 10701)
=0.237556 / 0.244725
=0.9707

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5312.1 + 4092.6) / 26375.1) / ((6165.2 + 3375.4) / 25868.3)
=0.356575 / 0.368814
=0.9668

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(948.9 - -127.8 - 2079) / 26375.1
=-0.038002

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Molson Coors Beverage Co has a M-score of -2.67 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Molson Coors Beverage Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Molson Coors Beverage Co (LTS:0K2K) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
NH353, P.O. Box 4030, Golden, CO, USA, 80401
Molson Coors owns well-known beer brands including Miller, Coors, Blue Moon, and Carling, and ranks as the second largest beer maker in both value and volume terms in the U.S., Canada, and the United Kingdom. Through licensing agreements, it also brews and distributes beer and hard seltzer under partner brands from Heineken, Anheuser-Busch InBev, Asahi, and Coca-Cola. The company uses independent distributors in the U.S. given the three-tier distribution requirements, while using a combination of distributors and an in-house sales team in Canada and Europe. North America remains its largest market contributing over 80% of total revenue.

Molson Coors Beverage Co (LTS:0K2K) Headlines

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