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First Majestic Silver (MEX:AG1) Beneish M-Score : -2.73 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is First Majestic Silver Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.73 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for First Majestic Silver's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:AG1' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -11.4   Med: -2.5   Max: 11.22
Current: -2.73

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of First Majestic Silver was 11.22. The lowest was -11.40. And the median was -2.50.


First Majestic Silver Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Majestic Silver's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Majestic Silver Beneish M-Score Chart

First Majestic Silver Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.15 -2.33 -1.87 0.15 -2.60

First Majestic Silver Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -8.59 -2.60 -3.16 -2.71 -2.73

Competitive Comparison of First Majestic Silver's Beneish M-Score

For the Silver subindustry, First Majestic Silver's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Majestic Silver's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, First Majestic Silver's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Majestic Silver's Beneish M-Score falls into.



First Majestic Silver Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of First Majestic Silver for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.1544+0.528 * -0.1004+0.404 * 0.8489+0.892 * 0.8969+0.115 * 1.2215
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0577+4.679 * -0.072881-0.327 * 0.9758
=-2.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN1,164 Mil.
Revenue was 2894.317 + 2505.091 + 1768.48 + 2336.947 = MXN9,505 Mil.
Gross Profit was 561.607 + 283.265 + -5.327 + 303.856 = MXN1,143 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN7,002 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN38,937 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN28,249 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN2,165 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN863 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN2,311 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN4,274 Mil.
Net Income was -523.624 + -883.963 + -225.095 + 173.664 = MXN-1,459 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -138.383 + -177.155 + 0.714 + 32.404 = MXN-282 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 808.051 + 308.584 + 206.358 + 338.212 = MXN1,661 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN603 Mil.
Revenue was 2330.614 + 2525.451 + 2840.776 + 2900.79 = MXN10,598 Mil.
Gross Profit was 226.899 + 19.51 + -115.775 + -258.634 = MXN-128 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN5,195 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN34,008 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN25,019 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN2,383 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN910 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN1,750 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN4,144 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1164.169 / 9504.835) / (602.502 / 10597.631)
=0.122482 / 0.056853
=2.1544

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-128 / 10597.631) / (1143.401 / 9504.835)
=-0.012078 / 0.120297
=-0.1004

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7001.753 + 28248.669) / 38937.47) / (1 - (5195.395 + 25018.953) / 34007.871)
=0.094692 / 0.111548
=0.8489

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9504.835 / 10597.631
=0.8969

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2383.086 / (2383.086 + 25018.953)) / (2165.376 / (2165.376 + 28248.669))
=0.086967 / 0.071197
=1.2215

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(862.816 / 9504.835) / (909.553 / 10597.631)
=0.090777 / 0.085826
=1.0577

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4274.252 + 2311.051) / 38937.47) / ((4144.339 + 1749.955) / 34007.871)
=0.169125 / 0.173321
=0.9758

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-1459.018 - -282.42 - 1661.205) / 38937.47
=-0.072881

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

First Majestic Silver has a M-score of -2.47 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


First Majestic Silver Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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First Majestic Silver Business Description

Address
925 West Georgia Street, Suite 1800, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 3L2
First Majestic Silver Corp is engaged in the production, development, exploration, and acquisition of mineral properties with a focus on silver and gold production in North America. It owns three producing mines, in Mexico consisting of the San Dimas Silver/Gold Mine, the Santa Elena Silver/Gold Mine and the La Encantada Silver Mine.

First Majestic Silver Headlines

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