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TJX (TJX) Beneish M-Score

: -2.87 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.87 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for TJX's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TJX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.91   Med: -2.74   Max: -2.1
Current: -2.87

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of TJX was -2.10. The lowest was -2.91. And the median was -2.74.


TJX Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for TJX's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TJX Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.40 -2.90 -2.10 -2.46 -2.87

TJX Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.46 -2.67 -2.76 -2.83 -2.87

Competitive Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, TJX's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TJX Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, TJX's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TJX's Beneish M-Score falls into.



TJX Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of TJX for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7941+0.528 * 0.9203+0.404 * 1.0386+0.892 * 1.0857+0.115 * 0.9887
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0801+4.679 * -0.053215-0.327 * 0.9728
=-2.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $588 Mil.
Revenue was 16411 + 13265 + 12758 + 11783 = $54,217 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4883 + 4126 + 3848 + 3409 = $16,266 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $12,664 Mil.
Total Assets was $29,747 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $15,967 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $964 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $10,469 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $10,451 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $10,922 Mil.
Net Income was 1403 + 1191 + 989 + 891 = $4,474 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2800 + 1171 + 1341 + 745 = $6,057 Mil.
Total Receivables was $682 Mil.
Revenue was 14520 + 12167 + 11843 + 11406 = $49,936 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3789 + 3543 + 3272 + 3183 = $13,787 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $12,456 Mil.
Total Assets was $28,349 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $14,869 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $887 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $8,927 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $10,305 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $10,634 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(588 / 54217) / (682 / 49936)
=0.010845 / 0.013657
=0.7941

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(13787 / 49936) / (16266 / 54217)
=0.276093 / 0.300017
=0.9203

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12664 + 15967) / 29747) / (1 - (12456 + 14869) / 28349)
=0.037516 / 0.036121
=1.0386

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=54217 / 49936
=1.0857

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(887 / (887 + 14869)) / (964 / (964 + 15967))
=0.056296 / 0.056937
=0.9887

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(10469 / 54217) / (8927 / 49936)
=0.193094 / 0.178769
=1.0801

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((10922 + 10451) / 29747) / ((10634 + 10305) / 28349)
=0.718493 / 0.738615
=0.9728

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4474 - 0 - 6057) / 29747
=-0.053215

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

TJX has a M-score of -2.87 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


TJX (TJX) Business Description

Address
770 Cochituate Road, Framingham, MA, USA, 01701
TJX Companies is the leading off-price retailer of apparel, accessories, and home merchandise in the United States. The firm leverages its more than 21,000 global vendor relationships to procure and sell brand-name merchandise at prices 20%-60% cheaper than conventional retail channels. TJX opportunistically purchases excess inventory that stems from manufacturing overruns and retail closeout sales. The off-price retailer disperses its vast and disparate merchandise across its 4,900 global stores, creating a treasure-hunt shopping experience for consumers. Over three quarters of TJX's sales are derived from the United States, primarily via the T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods banners. About 10% of sales are from Canada and 12% from Europe and Australia.
Executives
Ernie Herrman officer: SEVP, President, Marmaxx 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Wagner Charles F Jr director C/O MILLIPORE CORP, BILLERICA MA 01820
Carol Meyrowitz officer: President -- Marmaxx Group TJX COMPANIES INC, 770 COCHITUATE RD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Kenneth Canestrari officer: SEVP - Group President THE TJX COMPANIES, INC., 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Scott Goldenberg officer: EVP, CFO THE TJX COMPANIES, INC., 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
John Klinger officer: EVP, CFO C/O THE TJX COMPANIES, INC., 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Louise Greenlees officer: SEVP - Group President C/O THE TJX COMPANIES, INC., 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Amy B Lane director 1626 EAST JEFFERSON ST, ROCKVILLE MD 20852
Richard Sherr officer: SEVP, Group President THE TJX COMPANIES, INC., 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
C Kim Goodwin director C/O AKAMAI TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 8 CAMBRIDGE CENTER, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Zein Abdalla director 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, LEGAL DEPARTMENT, 1/2, PURCHASE NY 10577
Michael F Hines director
Rosemary T Berkery director MERRILL LYNCH CORPORATE SECRETARY, 222 BROADWAY, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10038
David T Ching director C/O SAFEWAY INC, 5918 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Douglas W. Mizzi officer: SEVP - Group President THE TJX COMPANIES, INC., 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701