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Marathon Petroleum (Marathon Petroleum) Beneish M-Score

: -2.92 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.92 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Marathon Petroleum's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MPC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: -2.64   Max: 0.94
Current: -2.92

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Marathon Petroleum was 0.94. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.64.


Marathon Petroleum Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Marathon Petroleum's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Marathon Petroleum Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 0.94 -1.84 -2.68 -2.92

Marathon Petroleum Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 -3.09 -3.14 -3.04 -2.92

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Marathon Petroleum's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marathon Petroleum Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Marathon Petroleum's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marathon Petroleum's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Marathon Petroleum Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Marathon Petroleum for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0311+0.528 * 1.1432+0.404 * 1.0291+0.892 * 0.8362+0.115 * 0.9617
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3111+4.679 * -0.073348-0.327 * 1.0399
=-2.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $11,619 Mil.
Revenue was 36255 + 40917 + 36343 + 34864 = $148,379 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2845 + 5144 + 3747 + 4770 = $16,506 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $32,131 Mil.
Total Assets was $85,987 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $36,345 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3,307 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,039 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $20,150 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $26,093 Mil.
Net Income was 1451 + 3280 + 2226 + 2724 = $9,681 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 500 + 686 + 481 + 204 = $1,871 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1123 + 4953 + 3984 + 4057 = $14,117 Mil.
Total Receivables was $13,477 Mil.
Revenue was 39813 + 45787 + 53795 + 38058 = $177,453 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5441 + 6172 + 8769 + 2185 = $22,567 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $35,242 Mil.
Total Assets was $89,904 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $36,871 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3,215 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,772 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $20,020 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $26,475 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(11619 / 148379) / (13477 / 177453)
=0.078306 / 0.075947
=1.0311

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(22567 / 177453) / (16506 / 148379)
=0.127172 / 0.111242
=1.1432

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (32131 + 36345) / 85987) / (1 - (35242 + 36871) / 89904)
=0.203647 / 0.197889
=1.0291

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=148379 / 177453
=0.8362

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3215 / (3215 + 36871)) / (3307 / (3307 + 36345))
=0.080203 / 0.083401
=0.9617

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3039 / 148379) / (2772 / 177453)
=0.020481 / 0.015621
=1.3111

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((26093 + 20150) / 85987) / ((26475 + 20020) / 89904)
=0.537791 / 0.517163
=1.0399

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(9681 - 1871 - 14117) / 85987
=-0.073348

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Marathon Petroleum has a M-score of -2.92 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Marathon Petroleum Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Marathon Petroleum (Marathon Petroleum) Business Description

Address
539 South Main Street, Findlay, OH, USA, 45840-3229
Marathon Petroleum is an independent refiner with 13 refineries in the midcontinent, West Coast, and Gulf Coast of the United States with total throughput capacity of 2.9 million barrels per day. Its Dickinson, North Dakota, facility produces 184 million gallons a year of renewable diesel. Its Martinez, California, facility will have the ability to produce 730 million gallons a year of renewable diesel once converted. The firm also owns and operates midstream assets primarily through its listed master limited partnership, MPLX.
Executives
Carl Kristopher Hagedorn officer: Senior VP and Controller C/O CONE MIDSTREAM PARTNERS LP, 1000 CONSOL ENERGY DRIVE, CANONSBURG PA 15317
Rucker Kim K.w. director KRAFT FOODS GROUP, INC., THREE LAKES DRIVE, NORTHFIELD IL 60093
Shawn M Lyon officer: SVP Log & Storage, MPLX GP LLC C/O MPLX, 200 E HARDIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840
Gregory Scott Floerke officer: Ex VP & COO, MPLX GP LLC C/O MARKWEST ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P., 1515 ARAPAHOE STREET, TOWER 1, SUITE 160, DENVER CO 80202
Timothy J Aydt officer: Ex VP and CCO, MPLX GP LLC C/O MPLX LP, 200 E. HARDIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840
Toni Townes-whitley director 8340 SPRINGHAVEN GARDEN LANE, MCLEAN, VA X1 22102
Michael J Hennigan officer: President & CEO, MPLX GP LLC 3807 WEST CHESTER PIKE, NEWTOWN SQUARE PA 19073
Suzanne Gagle officer: VP and General Counsel C/O MPC, FINDLAY OH 45840
Thomas Kaczynski officer: VP, Finance and Treasurer C/O MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION, FINDLAY OH 45840
Raymond L Brooks officer: Sr. VP, Refining C/O MPC, FINDLAY OH 45840
Charles E Bunch director PPG INDUSTRIES INC., ONE PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15272
Brian C Davis officer: Exec VP, Chief Commercial Ofc C/O MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION, 539 S. MAIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840
Maryann T. Mannen officer: Exec VP & Chief Fin Ofc C/O MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION, 539 SOUTH MAIN ST, FINDLAY OH 45840
Jonathan Z Cohen director 1845 WALNUT STREET, 10TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
James E Rohr director 249 FIFTH AVE, P1-POPP-30-1, PITTSBURGH PA 15222

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