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Cavco Industries (Cavco Industries) Beneish M-Score : -2.61 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Cavco Industries Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cavco Industries's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CVCO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.02   Med: -2.46   Max: -1.83
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Cavco Industries was -1.83. The lowest was -3.02. And the median was -2.46.


Cavco Industries Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cavco Industries's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cavco Industries Beneish M-Score Chart

Cavco Industries Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.11 -2.66 -2.67 -1.95 -2.47

Cavco Industries Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.35 -2.47 -2.75 -2.67 -2.61

Competitive Comparison of Cavco Industries's Beneish M-Score

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Cavco Industries's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cavco Industries's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Cavco Industries's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cavco Industries's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Cavco Industries Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Cavco Industries for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2217+0.528 * 1.0715+0.404 * 1.0033+0.892 * 0.8523+0.115 * 1.0873
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.179+4.679 * -0.046522-0.327 * 0.9956
=-2.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $133 Mil.
Revenue was 446.769 + 452.03 + 475.875 + 476.38 = $1,851 Mil.
Gross Profit was 103.051 + 106.957 + 117.879 + 120.641 = $449 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $833 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,327 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $262 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $19 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $253 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $271 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $33 Mil.
Net Income was 35.987 + 41.539 + 46.357 + 47.312 = $171 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -0.224 + 0.655 + 0.126 + 0.676 = $1 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 45.904 + 77.907 + 82.293 + 25.574 = $232 Mil.
Total Receivables was $128 Mil.
Revenue was 500.603 + 577.392 + 588.338 + 505.479 = $2,172 Mil.
Gross Profit was 131.968 + 157.599 + 144.724 + 129.6 = $564 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $833 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,264 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $212 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $16 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $252 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $278 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $13 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(133.308 / 1851.054) / (128.022 / 2171.812)
=0.072017 / 0.058947
=1.2217

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(563.891 / 2171.812) / (448.528 / 1851.054)
=0.259641 / 0.24231
=1.0715

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (833.047 + 261.609) / 1326.596) / (1 - (832.554 + 211.559) / 1264.474)
=0.174838 / 0.174271
=1.0033

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1851.054 / 2171.812
=0.8523

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(16.441 / (16.441 + 211.559)) / (18.583 / (18.583 + 261.609))
=0.07211 / 0.066322
=1.0873

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(252.887 / 1851.054) / (251.661 / 2171.812)
=0.136618 / 0.115876
=1.179

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((33.285 + 271.172) / 1326.596) / ((13.058 + 278.423) / 1264.474)
=0.229502 / 0.230516
=0.9956

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(171.195 - 1.233 - 231.678) / 1326.596
=-0.046522

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Cavco Industries has a M-score of -2.61 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Cavco Industries Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Cavco Industries (Cavco Industries) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3636 North Central Avenue, Suite 1200, Phoenix, AZ, USA, 85012
Cavco Industries Inc designs and produces factory-built homes under the Cavco Homes, Fleetwood Homes, and Palm Harbor Homes brands. It also produces modular homes, park model homes, and vacation cabins, as well as commercial structures, among others. The company operates principally in two segments: Factory-built housing, which includes wholesale and retail systems-built housing operations and financial services, which includes manufactured housing consumer finance and insurance. Cavco received most of its revenues from the Factory-built housing segment.
Executives
Steven K. Like officer: Senior Vice President 1001 N. CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 800, PHOENIX AZ 85004
Steven G Bunger director
Jack S Brandom officer: President, Financial Services C/O 3636 N. CENTRAL AVE., SUITE 1200, PHOENIX AZ 85012
Gavin Ryan officer: See remarks 3636 N. CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 1200, PHOENIX AZ 85012
David A. Greenblatt director 4218 BEECHWOOD LANE, DALLAS TX 75220-1908
Rogers Colleen J officer: SVP, Marketing and Comm. C/O 3636 N. CENTRAL AVE., SUITE 1200, PHOENIX AZ 85012
Allison Aden officer: EVP and CFO C/O PROFIT RECOVERY GROUP INTERNATIONAL, 2300 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY SUITE 100, ATLANTA GA 30339
Matthew A Nino officer: President, Retail C/O 3636 N CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 1200, PHOENIX AZ 85012
Brian R Cira officer: President,Manufactured Housing C/O 3636 N. CENTRAL AVE., SUITE 1200, PHOENIX AZ 85012
Anthony Crutcher officer: Chief Information Officer C/O 3636 N. CENTRAL AVE., SUITE 1200, PHOENIX AZ 85012
Paul Bigbee officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O 3636 N. CENTRAL AVE., SUITE 1200, PHOENIX AZ 85012
Steven W Moster director 7000 E. 1ST AVE., SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Simone Reynolds officer: Sr. VP & CHRO C/O 3636 N CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 1200, PHOENIX AZ 85012
Julia Sze director C/O 3636 N. CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 1200, PHOENIX AZ 85012
Lyle D Zeller officer: See Remarks 3636 N. CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 1200, PHOENIX AZ 85012

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