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Expedia Group (Expedia Group) Beneish M-Score

: -2.56 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Expedia Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

EXPE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.88   Med: -2.57   Max: -2.32
Current: -2.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Expedia Group was -2.32. The lowest was -2.88. And the median was -2.57.


Expedia Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Expedia Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => -2.82 [6] => -2.48 [7] => -2.32 [8] => -2.53 [9] => -2.56 )
Expedia Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.82 -2.48 -2.32 -2.53 -2.56

Expedia Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 -2.58 -2.47 -2.33 -2.56

Competitive Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Expedia Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Expedia Group Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Expedia Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Expedia Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Expedia Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Expedia Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2155+0.528 * 0.9774+0.404 * 0.9473+0.892 * 1.1005+0.115 * 1.0275
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9772+4.679 * -0.068478-0.327 * 1.0549
=-2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $2,833 Mil.
Revenue was 2887 + 3929 + 3358 + 2665 = $12,839 Mil.
Gross Profit was -3560 + 3517 + 2951 + 2251 = $5,159 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $9,230 Mil.
Total Assets was $21,642 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,716 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $807 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,527 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $11,783 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $6,567 Mil.
Net Income was 132 + 425 + 385 + -145 = $797 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -33 + -469 + 18 + 73 = $-411 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -238 + -1375 + 1146 + 3157 = $2,690 Mil.
Total Receivables was $2,118 Mil.
Revenue was 2618 + 3619 + 3181 + 2249 = $11,667 Mil.
Gross Profit was -3222 + 3164 + 2762 + 1878 = $4,582 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $8,791 Mil.
Total Assets was $21,561 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,573 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $792 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,420 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $10,778 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $6,552 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2833 / 12839) / (2118 / 11667)
=0.220656 / 0.181538
=1.2155

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4582 / 11667) / (5159 / 12839)
=0.392732 / 0.401823
=0.9774

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9230 + 2716) / 21642) / (1 - (8791 + 2573) / 21561)
=0.448018 / 0.472937
=0.9473

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12839 / 11667
=1.1005

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(792 / (792 + 2573)) / (807 / (807 + 2716))
=0.235364 / 0.229066
=1.0275

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1527 / 12839) / (1420 / 11667)
=0.118934 / 0.121711
=0.9772

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6567 + 11783) / 21642) / ((6552 + 10778) / 21561)
=0.847888 / 0.803766
=1.0549

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(797 - -411 - 2690) / 21642
=-0.068478

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Expedia Group has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Expedia Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Expedia Group's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Expedia Group (Expedia Group) Business Description

Address
1111 Expedia Group Way W, Seattle, WA, USA, 98119
Expedia is the world's second largest online travel agency by bookings, offering services for lodging (76% of total 2022 sales), air tickets (3%), rental cars, cruises, in-destination, and other (14%), and advertising revenue (7%). Expedia operates a number of branded travel booking sites, including Expedia.com, Hotels.com, Travelocity, Orbitz, Wotif, AirAsia, and Vrbo. It also has a metasearch brand, Trivago. Transaction fees for online bookings account for the bulk of sales and profits.
Executives
Dara Khosrowshahi officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O INTERACTIVE CORP, 152 WEST 57TH ST, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lance A Soliday officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O EXPEDIA, INC., 333 108TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Robert J Dzielak officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel & Sec. C/O EXPEDIA, INC., 333 108TH AVE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Alexandr Wang director C/O EXPEDIA GROUP, INC., 1111 EXPEDIA GROUP WAY W., SEATTLE WA 98119
Madhumita Moina Banerjee director C/O JBG SMITH PROPERTIES, 4445 WILLARD AVENUE, SUITE 400, CHEVY CHASE MD 20815
Henrique Vasoncelos Dubugras director 1000 LAUREL WAY, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Jonathan L Dolgen director CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 12405 POWERSCOURT DRIVE, ST. LOUIS MO 63131
Patricia Menendez-cambo director C/O EXPEDIA GROUP, INC., 1111 EXPEDIA GROUP WAY W., SEATTLE WA 98119
Peter M Kern director C/O EXPEDIA, INC., 333 108TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Susan C Athey director C/O EXPEDIA, INC., 333 108TH AVE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Beverly J Anderson director 1550 PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
A George Battle director 600 TOWNSEND ST, SUITE 500, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Slp V Fort Gp I, L.l.c. director C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Slp V Fort Holdings I, L.p. director C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Slp Fort Aggregator Ii, L.p director C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025

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