Great Southern Bancorp Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Great Southern Bancorp for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.9639 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 0.9992 | + | 0.892 * 0.9552 | + | 0.115 * 1.0196 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.111 | + | 4.679 * -0.002219 | - | 0.327 * 1.0152 |
| = | -2.59 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $50.7 Mil.
Revenue was 51.71 + 54.59 + 55.907 + 61.081 = $223.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was 51.71 + 54.59 + 55.907 + 61.081 = $223.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $740.2 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,812.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $138.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $9.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $82.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $7.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $100.4 Mil.
Net Income was 13.145 + 15.879 + 18.32 + 20.456 = $67.8 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 40.595 + -7.523 + 42.186 + 5.442 = $80.7 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was $55.1 Mil.
Revenue was 62.281 + 60.882 + 58.15 + 52.442 = $233.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was 62.281 + 60.882 + 58.15 + 52.442 = $233.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $714.2 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,680.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $141.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $9.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $78.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $100.1 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (50.691 / 223.288) | / | (55.057 / 233.755) |
| = | 0.227021 | / | 0.235533 |
| | = | 0.9639 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (233.755 / 233.755) | / | (223.288 / 223.288) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (740.231 + 138.591) / 5812.402) | / | (1 - (714.169 + 141.07) / 5680.702) |
| = | 0.848802 | / | 0.849448 |
| | = | 0.9992 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 223.288 | / | 233.755 |
| | = | 0.9552 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (9.677 / (9.677 + 141.07)) | / | (9.312 / (9.312 + 138.591)) |
| = | 0.064194 | / | 0.06296 |
| | = | 1.0196 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (82.8 / 223.288) | / | (78.021 / 233.755) |
| = | 0.370822 | / | 0.333773 |
| | = | 1.111 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((100.353 + 7.835) / 5812.402) | / | ((100.055 + 4.093) / 5680.702) |
| = | 0.018613 | / | 0.018334 |
| | = | 1.0152 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (67.8 - 0 | - | 80.7) | / | 5812.402 |
| | = | -0.002219 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Great Southern Bancorp has a M-score of -2.59 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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