Market Cap : 11.58 B | Enterprise Value : 15.4 B | Price-to-FFO : | PB Ratio : 1.83 |
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -5.79 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Host Hotels & Resorts was 3.52. The lowest was -5.79. And the median was -2.71.
* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.
* The bar in red indicates where Host Hotels & Resorts's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Host Hotels & Resorts for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1 | + | 0.528 * -3.362 | + | 0.404 * 0.9415 | + | 0.892 * 0.2962 | + | 0.115 * 1.0093 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 1.2489 | + | 4.679 * -0.0466 | - | 0.327 * 1.2869 | |||||||
= | -5.79 |
* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.
This Year (Dec20) TTM: | Last Year (Dec19) TTM: |
Accounts Receivable was $0 Mil. Revenue was 267 + 198 + 103 + 1052 = $1,620 Mil. Gross Profit was -77 + -129 + -162 + 208 = $-160 Mil. Total Current Assets was $2,357 Mil. Total Assets was $12,890 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $597 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $665 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $128 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $2,606 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,680 Mil. Net Income was -64 + -313 + -352 + -3 = $-732 Mil. Non Operating Income was 190 + -5 + -11 + 2 = $176 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was -143 + -149 + -172 + 157 = $-307 Mil. |
Accounts Receivable was $0 Mil. Revenue was 1334 + 1262 + 1483 + 1390 = $5,469 Mil. Gross Profit was 429 + 376 + 542 + 469 = $1,816 Mil. Total Current Assets was $1,636 Mil. Total Assets was $12,305 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $595 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $676 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $346 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $1,252 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,411 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Accounts Receivable in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (0 / 1620) | / | (0 / 5469) | |
= | 0 | / | 0 | |
= | 1 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (1816 / 5469) | / | (-160 / 1620) | |
= | 0.33205339 | / | -0.09876543 | |
= | -3.362 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (2357 + 597) / 12890) | / | (1 - (1636 + 595) / 12305) | |
= | 0.7708301 | / | 0.81869159 | |
= | 0.9415 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 1620 | / | 5469 | |
= | 0.2962 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (676 / (676 + 595)) | / | (665 / (665 + 597)) | |
= | 0.53186467 | / | 0.52694136 | |
= | 1.0093 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (128 / 1620) | / | (346 / 5469) | |
= | 0.07901235 | / | 0.06326568 | |
= | 1.2489 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((3680 + 2606) / 12890) | / | ((3411 + 1252) / 12305) | |
= | 0.48766486 | / | 0.37895165 | |
= | 1.2869 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (-732 - 176 | - | -307) | / | 12890 | |
= | -0.0466 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Host Hotels & Resorts has a M-score of -5.79 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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