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Asbury Automotive Group (Asbury Automotive Group) Beneish M-Score

: -2.04 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.04 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Asbury Automotive Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ABG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.65   Med: -2.34   Max: -2.04
Current: -2.04

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Asbury Automotive Group was -2.04. The lowest was -2.65. And the median was -2.34.


Asbury Automotive Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Asbury Automotive Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Asbury Automotive Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 -2.48 -2.15 -2.30 -2.04

Asbury Automotive Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -2.35 -2.36 -2.07 -2.04

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Asbury Automotive Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Asbury Automotive Group Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Asbury Automotive Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Asbury Automotive Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Asbury Automotive Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Asbury Automotive Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3196+0.528 * 1.0791+0.404 * 0.9119+0.892 * 0.9591+0.115 * 1.1915
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9563+4.679 * 0.038703-0.327 * 1.0988
=-2.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $565 Mil.
Revenue was 3811.7 + 3666.2 + 3742.4 + 3582.3 = $14,803 Mil.
Gross Profit was 673 + 673.5 + 713.1 + 696.2 = $2,756 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,057 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,159 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,557 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $68 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,617 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,876 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,343 Mil.
Net Income was 55.5 + 169.2 + 196.4 + 181.4 = $603 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -117.2 + 0 + 13.5 + 0 = $-104 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 73.2 + 18.1 + 50 + 171.7 = $313 Mil.
Total Receivables was $446 Mil.
Revenue was 3705.9 + 3866 + 3950.2 + 3911.8 = $15,434 Mil.
Gross Profit was 738.1 + 767.8 + 802.7 + 792 = $3,101 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,910 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,021 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,177 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $69 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,763 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,033 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,435 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(564.7 / 14802.6) / (446.2 / 15433.9)
=0.038149 / 0.02891
=1.3196

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3100.6 / 15433.9) / (2755.8 / 14802.6)
=0.200895 / 0.18617
=1.0791

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3057.1 + 2557.4) / 10159.4) / (1 - (1909.8 + 2176.5) / 8021.4)
=0.447359 / 0.490575
=0.9119

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=14802.6 / 15433.9
=0.9591

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(69 / (69 + 2176.5)) / (67.7 / (67.7 + 2557.4))
=0.030728 / 0.025789
=1.1915

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1617.3 / 14802.6) / (1763.4 / 15433.9)
=0.109258 / 0.114255
=0.9563

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3343.3 + 2875.7) / 10159.4) / ((3435.2 + 1033.4) / 8021.4)
=0.612142 / 0.557085
=1.0988

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(602.5 - -103.7 - 313) / 10159.4
=0.038703

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Asbury Automotive Group has a M-score of -2.04 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Asbury Automotive Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Asbury Automotive Group (Asbury Automotive Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2905 Premiere Parkway North West, Suite 300, Duluth, GA, USA, 30097
Asbury Automotive Group is a regional collection of automobile dealerships that went public in March 2002. The company operates 138 new-vehicle stores, seven used-vehicle stores, and 32 collision centers. Over 70% of new-vehicle revenue is from luxury and import brands. Asbury also offers third-party financing and insurance products and its own F&I products via Total Care Auto. Asbury operates in 14 states (mostly Texas, the West, and the Southeast). Asbury store brands include David McDavid and Park Place in Texas, and the Larry H. Miller brand in the Western U.S. It plans to acquire Koons in the Washington, D.C. area in late 2023 or early 2024. Asbury generated $15.4 billion of revenue in 2022 and is based in the Atlanta area. The firm targets about $32 billion in 2025.
Executives
Daniel Clara officer: SVP, Operations C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, STE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Philip F Maritz director C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, STE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
George A Villasana officer: VP & General Counsel 2905 PREMIERE PARKWAY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Miran Maric officer: SVP, Strategy & Innovation C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Bridget Ryan Berman director 161 FALCON ROAD, GUILFORD CT 06437
David W Hult officer: EVP & COO 800 GESSNER, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Jed Milstein officer: VP & CHRO 2905 PREMIERE PARKWAY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Nathan Edward Briesemeister officer: VP, Controller & CAO C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Terry Hilliard C. Iii director ONE SW COLUMBIA ST STE 1200, PORTLAND OR 97258
Michael Welch officer: SVP & CFO C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 2905 PREMIERE PKWY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
David C Abrams 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Abrams Capital Partners Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Abrams Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY ST., 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Abrams Capital Management, L.p. 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Abrams Capital Management, Llc 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116