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American Axle & Mfg Holdings (American Axle & Mfg Holdings) Beneish M-Score

: -2.74 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.74 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AXL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.93   Med: -2.74   Max: -1.69
Current: -2.74

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of American Axle & Mfg Holdings was -1.69. The lowest was -2.93. And the median was -2.74.


American Axle & Mfg Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

American Axle & Mfg Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 -2.80 -2.93 -2.63 -2.74

American Axle & Mfg Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.72 -2.73 -2.93 -2.74

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Axle & Mfg Holdings Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Axle & Mfg Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



American Axle & Mfg Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of American Axle & Mfg Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9524+0.528 * 1.183+0.404 * 1.0263+0.892 * 1.0478+0.115 * 0.9541
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0147+4.679 * -0.07634-0.327 * 1.0007
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $819 Mil.
Revenue was 1463 + 1551.9 + 1570.7 + 1493.9 = $6,080 Mil.
Gross Profit was 154.9 + 130.6 + 178.2 + 160.6 = $624 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,007 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,356 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,877 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $487 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $367 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,202 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,847 Mil.
Net Income was -19.1 + -17.4 + 8 + -5.1 = $-34 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -8.2 + -3.1 + -8.1 + -1.4 = $-21 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 52.9 + 178.3 + 132.8 + 32.1 = $396 Mil.
Total Receivables was $820 Mil.
Revenue was 1392.7 + 1535.2 + 1438.3 + 1436.2 = $5,802 Mil.
Gross Profit was 167.2 + 177.4 + 173.5 + 186.8 = $705 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,993 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,469 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,010 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $492 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $345 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,199 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,932 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(818.5 / 6079.5) / (820.2 / 5802.4)
=0.134633 / 0.141355
=0.9524

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(704.9 / 5802.4) / (624.3 / 6079.5)
=0.121484 / 0.102689
=1.183

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2006.6 + 1876.5) / 5356.3) / (1 - (1993.4 + 2010.2) / 5469.4)
=0.275041 / 0.268
=1.0263

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6079.5 / 5802.4
=1.0478

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(492.1 / (492.1 + 2010.2)) / (487.2 / (487.2 + 1876.5))
=0.196659 / 0.206118
=0.9541

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(366.9 / 6079.5) / (345.1 / 5802.4)
=0.06035 / 0.059475
=1.0147

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2847.4 + 1201.6) / 5356.3) / ((2932.3 + 1199.3) / 5469.4)
=0.755932 / 0.755403
=1.0007

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-33.6 - -20.8 - 396.1) / 5356.3
=-0.07634

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

American Axle & Mfg Holdings has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


American Axle & Mfg Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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American Axle & Mfg Holdings (American Axle & Mfg Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Dauch Drive, Detroit, MI, USA, 48211-1198
American Axle & Mfg Holdings Inc is engaged in manufacturing, engineering, designing and validation of driveline systems and related components and chassis modules for light trucks, SUVs, crossover vehicles, passenger cars, and commercial vehicles. The company's segment includes Driveline and Metal Forming. It generates maximum revenue from the Driveline segment.
Executives
Terri M. Kemp officer: Senior VP Human Resources ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211
Matthew K. Paroly officer: VP & General Counsel ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211
Norman Willemse officer: VP, Metal Form Prod. Bus. Unit ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211-1198
James A Mccaslin director
Herbert K Parker director 38505 WOODWARD AVENUE, SUITE 200, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48304
John F. Smith director ONE DAUCH DR., DETROIT MI 48211
Tolga I Oal officer: President, AAM North America 201 ISABELLA STREET, PITTSTBURGH PA 15212
Alberto L Satine officer: VP-Procurement ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211
Sandra E. Pierce director 2555 TELEGRAPH RD., BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48302
Miller William P Ii director 20 S. WACKER DR., CHICAGO IL 60606
Michael Joseph Lynch officer: VP Finance & Controller ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211
Michael K Simonte officer: VP & Treasurer ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211-1198
Bowes Timothy Earl Joseph officer: Senior VP Corporate Planning 2135 WEST MAPLE ROAD, TROY MI 48084
Elizabeth Anne Chappell director ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211
Christopher John May officer: VP & CFO ONE DAUCH DRIVE, DETROIT MI 48211