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Graphic Packaging Holding Co (Graphic Packaging Holding Co) Beneish M-Score : -2.72 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Graphic Packaging Holding Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.72 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

GPK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.89   Med: -2.63   Max: -1.5
Current: -2.72

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Graphic Packaging Holding Co was -1.50. The lowest was -2.89. And the median was -2.63.


Graphic Packaging Holding Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Graphic Packaging Holding Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Graphic Packaging Holding Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.89 -2.53 -2.23 -2.77 -2.72

Graphic Packaging Holding Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.77 -2.79 -2.76 -2.76 -2.72

Competitive Comparison of Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Graphic Packaging Holding Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Graphic Packaging Holding Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Graphic Packaging Holding Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9512+0.528 * 0.8633+0.404 * 1.0138+0.892 * 0.9987+0.115 * 0.9768
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0414+4.679 * -0.030783-0.327 * 0.933
=-2.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $835 Mil.
Revenue was 2249 + 2349 + 2392 + 2438 = $9,428 Mil.
Gross Profit was 501 + 550 + 506 + 560 = $2,117 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,845 Mil.
Total Assets was $11,175 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,992 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $619 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $805 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,589 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,798 Mil.
Net Income was 196 + 170 + 150 + 207 = $723 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -13 + -29 + -19 + -16 = $-77 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 442 + 411 + 231 + 60 = $1,144 Mil.
Total Receivables was $879 Mil.
Revenue was 2386 + 2451 + 2358 + 2245 = $9,440 Mil.
Gross Profit was 491 + 511 + 441 + 387 = $1,830 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,706 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,328 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,579 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $553 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $774 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,933 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,384 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(835 / 9428) / (879 / 9440)
=0.088566 / 0.093114
=0.9512

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1830 / 9440) / (2117 / 9428)
=0.193856 / 0.224544
=0.8633

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2845 + 4992) / 11175) / (1 - (2706 + 4579) / 10328)
=0.298702 / 0.294636
=1.0138

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9428 / 9440
=0.9987

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(553 / (553 + 4579)) / (619 / (619 + 4992))
=0.107755 / 0.110319
=0.9768

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(805 / 9428) / (774 / 9440)
=0.085384 / 0.081992
=1.0414

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4798 + 2589) / 11175) / ((5384 + 1933) / 10328)
=0.661029 / 0.708462
=0.933

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(723 - -77 - 1144) / 11175
=-0.030783

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Graphic Packaging Holding Co has a M-score of -2.72 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Graphic Packaging Holding Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Graphic Packaging Holding Co (Graphic Packaging Holding Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1500 Riveredge Parkway, Suite 100, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30328
Graphic Packaging Holding Co is a holding company that manufactures and sells a variety of paper-based consumer packaging products through its subsidiaries. The company's two primary functions include the sale of paperboard packaging and the operation of paperboard mills. The paperboard packaging business includes packaging for beverages, including beer and soft drinks as well as food, including cereal, frozen foods, and pet foods. The firm also sells paperboard packaging for household products, including dishwasher and laundry detergent and personal care products. Graphic Packaging operates papermills that sell laminated and coated packaging products to third parties. The majority of revenue comes from the Americas.
Executives
Stephen R. Scherger officer: SVP, Consumer Packaging Div. 3901 SULGRAVE ROAD, RICHMOND VA 23221
Lynn A Wentworth director CINCINNATI BELL INC, P O BOX 2301, CINCINNATI OH 45201
Michael James Farrell officer: EVP, Mills Division 1500 RIVEREDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 100, ATLANTA GA 30328
Jean Francois Roche officer: SVP and President, EMEA 1500 RIVEREDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 100, AT GA 30328
Elizabeth Spence officer: EVP, Human Resources 1500 RIVEREDGE PARKWAY, N.W., SUITE 100, ATLANTA GA 30328
Aziz Aghili director 5706 KIRKRIDGE TRAIL, ROCHESTER HILLS MI 48306
Margie Kay Bidlingmaier officer: EVP, President, Americas Busi 1500 RIVEREDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 100, ATLANTA GA 30328
Mary K Rhinehart director 821 17TH STREET, DENVER CO 80202
Joseph P Yost officer: SVP, Supply Chain 814 LIVINGSTON COURT, MARIETTA GA 30067
Larry M Venturelli director 2000 M-63N, BENTON HARBOR MI 49022
Charles D Lischer officer: SVP & CAO 2500 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 700, ATLANTA GA 30339
Stacey J. Panayiotou officer: EVP, Human Resources 9200 W. 108TH CIRCLE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021
Robert Hagemann director 3 GIRALDA FARMS, MADISON NJ 07940
Laurie Brlas director C/O ALBEMARLE CORPORATION, 4250 CONGRESS ST STE 900, CHARLOTTE NC 28209
Dean A Scarborough director 150 N. ORANGE GROVE BLVD, PASADENA CA 91103