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Herc Holdings (Herc Holdings) Beneish M-Score

: -2.74 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.74 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HRI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.05   Med: -2.96   Max: -2.5
Current: -2.74

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Herc Holdings was -2.50. The lowest was -5.05. And the median was -2.96.


Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Herc Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.29 -3.15 -2.76 -2.69 -2.74

Herc Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.75 -2.81 -2.81 -2.74

Competitive Comparison

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Herc Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8987+0.528 * 1.0431+0.404 * 1.3056+0.892 * 1.1978+0.115 * 0.9441
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.91+4.679 * -0.105792-0.327 * 0.9995
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $563 Mil.
Revenue was 832 + 908 + 802 + 740 = $3,282 Mil.
Gross Profit was 324 + 347 + 296 + 256 = $1,223 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $732 Mil.
Total Assets was $7,061 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,961 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $755 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $448 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $508 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,423 Mil.
Net Income was 91 + 113 + 76 + 67 = $347 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 6 + 3 + 0 + -1 = $8 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 290 + 280 + 281 + 235 = $1,086 Mil.
Total Receivables was $523 Mil.
Revenue was 787 + 745 + 640 + 568 = $2,740 Mil.
Gross Profit was 318 + 305 + 243 + 199 = $1,065 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $644 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,957 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,429 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $631 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $411 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $604 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,558 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(563 / 3282) / (523 / 2740)
=0.171542 / 0.190876
=0.8987

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1065 / 2740) / (1223 / 3282)
=0.388686 / 0.372639
=1.0431

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (732 + 4961) / 7061) / (1 - (644 + 4429) / 5957)
=0.19374 / 0.148397
=1.3056

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3282 / 2740
=1.1978

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(631 / (631 + 4429)) / (755 / (755 + 4961))
=0.124704 / 0.132085
=0.9441

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(448 / 3282) / (411 / 2740)
=0.136502 / 0.15
=0.91

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4423 + 508) / 7061) / ((3558 + 604) / 5957)
=0.698343 / 0.698674
=0.9995

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(347 - 8 - 1086) / 7061
=-0.105792

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Herc Holdings has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Herc Holdings (Herc Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
27500 Riverview Center Boulevard, Bonita Springs, FL, USA, 34134
Herc Holdings is an equipment rental company that was spun out of Hertz Global in 2016. It is currently the third-largest equipment rental company (4% market share) in North America, after United Rentals and Sunbelt Rentals, with a fleet size of $6.2 billion. It serves commercial and residential construction customers, the environmental sector, industrial entities, and entertainment production companies. During much of its 50-year-plus history, the company has rented equipment such as aerial lifts to its customers for intermittent use. More recently, it has broadened its catalog to include a host of specialty items. Separately, Herc Holdings' strategy now incorporates long-term rentals to industrial customers where Herc maintains its own staff at the customer site.
Executives
Mark Alan Schumacher officer: VP, CAO and Controller 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Lawrence Harris Silber director, officer: President & CEO 7 FOX HOLLOW COURT, FLEMINGTON NJ 08822
Christian J Cunningham officer: SVP & Chief HR Officer C/O HERC HOLDINGS INC., 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD., BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Aaron Birnbaum officer: SVP & Chief Operating Officer 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD., BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Carl C Icahn 10 percent owner C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH-1, SUNNY ISLES BEACH FL 33160
Mark Irion officer: SVP & CFO C/O NEFF CORPORATION, SUITE 400, 3750 N.W. 87TH AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33178
Hunter Clark Gary director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Steven D Miller director 16690 COLLINS AVENUE, PH, SUNNY ISLE BEACH FL 33160
Rakesh Sachdev director 3050 SPRUCE STREET, ST LOUIS MO 63103
James H Browning director 3760 JARDIN, HOUSTON TX 77005
Tamir Peres officer: SVP&Chief Information Officer 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD., BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Andrew Teno director C/O FIR TREE INC., 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Shari L Burgess director
Andrew Langham director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Herbert L Henkel director C/O INGERSOLL-RAND COMPANY LIMITED, 155 CHESTNUT RIDGE ROAD, MONTVALE NJ 07645