Hercules Capital Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Hercules Capital for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.4474 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 0.977 | + | 0.892 * 2.3099 | + | 0.115 * 1.0296 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 0.4776 | + | 4.679 * 0.078786 | - | 0.327 * 0.8793 |
| = | -1.33 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $32.7 Mil.
Revenue was 139.354 + 51.489 + 118.122 + 117.53 = $426.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was 139.354 + 51.489 + 118.122 + 117.53 = $426.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $131.6 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,416.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $18.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $54.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,560.1 Mil.
Net Income was 120.178 + 27.967 + 94.775 + 94.564 = $337.5 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 130.877 + -115.365 + 133.64 + -80.874 = $68.3 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was $31.7 Mil.
Revenue was 84.667 + 72.93 + 8.968 + 18.073 = $184.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was 84.667 + 72.93 + 8.968 + 18.073 = $184.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $47.5 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,028.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $5.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $16.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $47.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,579.9 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (32.741 / 426.495) | / | (31.682 / 184.638) |
| = | 0.076768 | / | 0.17159 |
| | = | 0.4474 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (184.638 / 184.638) | / | (426.495 / 426.495) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (131.64 + 4.787) / 3416.926) | / | (1 - (47.479 + 4.986) / 3028.855) |
| = | 0.960073 | / | 0.982678 |
| | = | 0.977 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 426.495 | / | 184.638 |
| | = | 2.3099 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (0.204 / (0.204 + 4.986)) | / | (0.19 / (0.19 + 4.787)) |
| = | 0.039306 | / | 0.038176 |
| | = | 1.0296 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (18.696 / 426.495) | / | (16.948 / 184.638) |
| = | 0.043836 | / | 0.09179 |
| | = | 0.4776 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((1560.064 + 54.156) / 3416.926) | / | ((1579.857 + 47.539) / 3028.855) |
| = | 0.472419 | / | 0.537297 |
| | = | 0.8793 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (337.484 - 0 | - | 68.278) | / | 3416.926 |
| | = | 0.078786 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Hercules Capital has a M-score of -1.33 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
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