Market Cap : 242.48 M | Enterprise Value : 9.25 B | PE Ratio : | PB Ratio : 0.60 |
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -2.46 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ocwen Financial was -0.72. The lowest was -5.01. And the median was -2.61.
* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.
* The bar in red indicates where Ocwen Financial's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Ocwen Financial for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.9017 | + | 0.528 * 1.5731 | + | 0.404 * 1.0395 | + | 0.892 * 0.8554 | + | 0.115 * 0.8571 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 0.8499 | + | 4.679 * -0.0146 | - | 0.327 * 1.0518 | |||||||
= | -2.46 |
* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.
This Year (Dec20) TTM: | Last Year (Dec19) TTM: |
Accounts Receivable was $166.0 Mil. Revenue was 231.011 + 249.035 + 227.024 + 253.842 = $960.9 Mil. Gross Profit was 94.782 + 94.282 + 97.394 + -26.899 = $259.6 Mil. Total Current Assets was $1,809.1 Mil. Total Assets was $10,651.1 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $16.9 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $19.1 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $107.1 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $1,221.2 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $8,293.3 Mil. Net Income was -7.223 + -9.42 + 1.954 + -25.489 = $-40.2 Mil. Non Operating Income was -44.535 + -54.059 + -41.743 + -5.266 = $-145.6 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 12.935 + 23.22 + 53.842 + 170.977 = $261.0 Mil. |
Accounts Receivable was $215.2 Mil. Revenue was 261.634 + 283.515 + 274.338 + 303.888 = $1,123.4 Mil. Gross Profit was 151.735 + 271.415 + -13.859 + 68.055 = $477.3 Mil. Total Current Assets was $2,073.3 Mil. Total Assets was $10,406.2 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $38.3 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $31.9 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $147.3 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $1,076.6 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $7,761.6 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Accounts Receivable in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (166.006 / 960.912) | / | (215.241 / 1123.375) | |
= | 0.1727588 | / | 0.19160209 | |
= | 0.9017 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (477.346 / 1123.375) | / | (259.559 / 960.912) | |
= | 0.42492133 | / | 0.27011735 | |
= | 1.5731 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (1809.132 + 16.925) / 10651.127) | / | (1 - (2073.331 + 38.274) / 10406.199) | |
= | 0.82855739 | / | 0.79708201 | |
= | 1.0395 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 960.912 | / | 1123.375 | |
= | 0.8554 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (31.911 / (31.911 + 38.274)) | / | (19.121 / (19.121 + 16.925)) | |
= | 0.4546698 | / | 0.53046108 | |
= | 0.8571 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (107.095 / 960.912) | / | (147.312 / 1123.375) | |
= | 0.11145141 | / | 0.13113341 | |
= | 0.8499 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((8293.309 + 1221.223) / 10651.127) | / | ((7761.627 + 1076.606) / 10406.199) | |
= | 0.89328876 | / | 0.84932385 | |
= | 1.0518 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (-40.178 - -145.603 | - | 260.974) | / | 10651.127 | |
= | -0.0146 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Ocwen Financial has a M-score of -2.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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