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Constellation Brands (Constellation Brands) Beneish M-Score

: -2.75 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.75 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Constellation Brands's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STZ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.75   Med: -2.58   Max: -2.34
Current: -2.75

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Constellation Brands was -2.34. The lowest was -2.75. And the median was -2.58.


Constellation Brands Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Constellation Brands's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Constellation Brands Annual Data
Trend Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.43 -2.70 -2.61 -2.74 -2.75

Constellation Brands Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.74 -2.64 -2.66 -2.63 -2.75

Competitive Comparison

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Constellation Brands's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Constellation Brands Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Constellation Brands's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Constellation Brands's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Constellation Brands Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Constellation Brands for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7345+0.528 * 1.0017+0.404 * 0.9467+0.892 * 1.0539+0.115 * 1.0216
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9103+4.679 * -0.021022-0.327 * 0.9044
=-2.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb24) TTM:Last Year (Feb23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $833 Mil.
Revenue was 2139.2 + 2470.9 + 2836.8 + 2514.9 = $9,962 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1039.2 + 1270.6 + 1449.9 + 1257.8 = $5,018 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,730 Mil.
Total Assets was $25,692 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $8,055 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $428 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,848 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,142 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $10,681 Mil.
Net Income was 392.4 + 509.1 + 690 + 135.9 = $1,727 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -34.4 + -41.8 + -20.2 + -416.1 = $-513 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 433.2 + 724.8 + 956.6 + 665.4 = $2,780 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,076 Mil.
Revenue was 1997.8 + 2436.5 + 2655.1 + 2363.2 = $9,453 Mil.
Gross Profit was 961.2 + 1226.9 + 1325.9 + 1255 = $4,769 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,496 Mil.
Total Assets was $24,662 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $7,064 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $384 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,926 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,968 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $11,704 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(832.8 / 9961.8) / (1075.8 / 9452.6)
=0.083599 / 0.11381
=0.7345

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4769 / 9452.6) / (5017.5 / 9961.8)
=0.504517 / 0.503674
=1.0017

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3729.5 + 8055.2) / 25691.7) / (1 - (3496.1 + 7064.2) / 24662.3)
=0.541303 / 0.571804
=0.9467

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9961.8 / 9452.6
=1.0539

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(383.8 / (383.8 + 7064.2)) / (427.9 / (427.9 + 8055.2))
=0.051531 / 0.050441
=1.0216

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1847.8 / 9961.8) / (1926.1 / 9452.6)
=0.185489 / 0.203764
=0.9103

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((10681.1 + 3141.7) / 25691.7) / ((11703.9 + 2968.3) / 24662.3)
=0.538026 / 0.594924
=0.9044

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1727.4 - -512.5 - 2780) / 25691.7
=-0.021022

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Constellation Brands has a M-score of -2.75 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Constellation Brands Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Constellation Brands (Constellation Brands) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
207 High Point Drive, Building 100, Victor, New York, NY, USA, 14564
Constellation Brands is the largest provider of alcoholic beverages across the beer, wine, and spirits categories in the U.S., generating 80% of revenue from Mexican beer imports under top-selling brands such as Modelo and Corona. The rest of the business includes some remaining wine and spirits brands, categories where the company continue to prune assets in recent years. With its exclusive rights tied to the Mexican beer brands effective only in the U.S., the firm has small revenue exposure to international markets. Constellation owns a 36% stake in no-moat Canopy Growth, a medicinal and recreational cannabis producer in Canada, and has a 50/50 joint venture with glass manufacturer Owens-Illinois in Mexico.
Executives
Family Foundation Sands other: Member of 10% owner group C/O WILDSTAR PARTNERS LLC, 110 E ATLANTIC AVE, STE. 200, DELRAY BEACH FL 33444
Ernesto M Hernandez director C/O CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC., 207 HIGH POINT DRIVE, BLDG. 100, VICTOR NY 14564
James O. Bourdeau officer: EVP & Gen. Counsel C/O CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC., 207 HIGH POINT DRIVE, BLDG. 100, VICTOR NY 14564
Daniel J Mccarthy director FRONTIER COMMUNICATIONS, 401 MERRITT 7, NORWALK CT 06851
Robert Lee Hanson officer: EVP & Pres. Wine and Spirits C/O CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC., 207 HIGH POINT DRIVE, BUILDING 100, VICTOR NY 14564
William A Newlands director, officer: President & CEO C/O CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC., 207 HIGH POINT DR., BUILDING 100, VICTOR NY 14564
Kaneenat Kristann Carey officer: EVP & Chief HR Officer 207 HIGH POINT DRIVE, BUILDING 100, VICTOR NY 14564
Garth Hankinson officer: EVP & CFO C/O CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC., 207 HIGH POINT DRIVE, BLDG. 100, VICTOR NY 14564
William T Giles director 123 S. FRONT STREET, DEPT. 8074, MEMPHIS TN 38103
Luca Zaramella director C/O MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL, INC., THREE PARKWAY NORTH, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Rht 2015 Business Holdings Lp other: Member of 10% owner group 110 E ATLANTIC AVE, STE. 200, C/O WILDSTAR PARTNERS LLC, DELRAY BEACH FL 33444
Rss Business Holdings Lp 10 percent owner C/O WILDSTAR PARTNERS LLC, 110 E ATLANTIC AVE, STE. 200, DELRAY BEACH FL 33444
Rct 2015 Business Holdings Lp other: Member of 10% owner group 110 E ATLANTIC AVE, STE. 200, C/O WILDSTAR PARTNERS LLC, DELRAY BEACH FL 33444
Wildstar Partners Llc 10 percent owner 110 E ATLANTIC AVE, STE. 200, DELRAY BEACH FL 33444
Rss 2015 Business Holdings Lp other: Member of 10% owner group 110 E ATLANTIC AVE, STE. 200, C/O WILDSTAR PARTNERS LLC, DELRAY BEACH FL 33444

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