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Air New Zealand (Air New Zealand) Beneish M-Score : -2.43 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Air New Zealand Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.43 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Air New Zealand's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ANZFF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.17   Med: -2.89   Max: -2.19
Current: -2.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Air New Zealand was -2.19. The lowest was -3.17. And the median was -2.89.


Air New Zealand Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Air New Zealand's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Air New Zealand Beneish M-Score Chart

Air New Zealand Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.81 -2.96 -3.05 -2.19 -2.43

Air New Zealand Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.19 - -2.43 -

Competitive Comparison of Air New Zealand's Beneish M-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Air New Zealand's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Air New Zealand's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Air New Zealand's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Air New Zealand's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Air New Zealand Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Air New Zealand for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5823+0.528 * 1.0419+0.404 * 0.8491+0.892 * 2.2357+0.115 * 0.9906
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6758+4.679 * -0.160196-0.327 * 1.0114
=-2.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $259 Mil.
Revenue was $3,883 Mil.
Gross Profit was $2,964 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,006 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,641 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,036 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $426 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,063 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,353 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,712 Mil.
Net Income was $253 Mil.
Gross Profit was $20 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $1,137 Mil.
Total Receivables was $199 Mil.
Revenue was $1,737 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,381 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,586 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,305 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,054 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $424 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $703 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,015 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,765 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(258.896 / 3883.436) / (198.856 / 1736.976)
=0.066667 / 0.114484
=0.5823

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1381.194 / 1736.976) / (2963.804 / 3883.436)
=0.795172 / 0.763191
=1.0419

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2005.521 + 3035.583) / 5641.104) / (1 - (1586.404 + 3054.003) / 5304.956)
=0.106362 / 0.125269
=0.8491

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3883.436 / 1736.976
=2.2357

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(424.396 / (424.396 + 3054.003)) / (426.38 / (426.38 + 3035.583))
=0.122009 / 0.123161
=0.9906

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1062.577 / 3883.436) / (703.304 / 1736.976)
=0.273618 / 0.404901
=0.6758

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1711.656 + 2353.374) / 5641.104) / ((1764.93 + 2014.612) / 5304.956)
=0.720609 / 0.712455
=1.0114

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(252.761 - 19.632 - 1136.81) / 5641.104
=-0.160196

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Air New Zealand has a M-score of -2.50 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Air New Zealand Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Air New Zealand (Air New Zealand) Business Description

Address
185 Fanshawe Street, Air New Zealand House, Auckland, NTL, NZL, 1010
Air New Zealand, majority owned by the New Zealand Government, provides air passenger and cargo transport services within New Zealand, as well as to and from Australia, the South-West Pacific, Asia, North America, the United Kingdom, and South America. Air New Zealand also encompasses business units providing engineering and ground handling services. Air New Zealand dominates the local market, with around 80% market share, although the majority of revenue is derived from international and trans-Tasman activity.