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Thai Beverage (Thai Beverage) Beneish M-Score

: -1.97 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.97 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Thai Beverage's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TBVPF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.63   Med: -2.5   Max: -1.74
Current: -1.97

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Thai Beverage was -1.74. The lowest was -2.63. And the median was -2.50.


Thai Beverage Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Thai Beverage's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => -2.55 [6] => -2.53 [7] => -2.61 [8] => -2.20 [9] => -2.10 )
Thai Beverage Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.55 -2.53 -2.61 -2.20 -2.10

Thai Beverage Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 -2.45 -2.20 -1.97 -2.10

Competitive Comparison

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Thai Beverage's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Thai Beverage Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Thai Beverage's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Thai Beverage's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Thai Beverage Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Thai Beverage for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.718+0.528 * 1.0006+0.404 * 0.9861+0.892 * 0.6316+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0329+4.679 * 0.03077-0.327 * 0.9012
=-1.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar21) TTM:
Total Receivables was $274 Mil.
Revenue was 1955.547 + 0 + 1980.095 + 0 = $3,936 Mil.
Gross Profit was 592.212 + 0 + 589.017 + 0 = $1,181 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,081 Mil.
Total Assets was $13,893 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,958 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $631 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,755 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,305 Mil.
Net Income was 213.467 + 0 + 214.014 + 0 = $427 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Total Receivables was $253 Mil.
Revenue was 1930.952 + 2386.569 + 0 + 1913.456 = $6,231 Mil.
Gross Profit was 583.523 + 707.416 + 0 + 580.291 = $1,871 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,860 Mil.
Total Assets was $14,492 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,266 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $179 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $967 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,319 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,853 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(274.137 / 3935.642) / (252.628 / 6230.977)
=0.069655 / 0.040544
=1.718

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1871.23 / 6230.977) / (1181.229 / 3935.642)
=0.300311 / 0.300136
=1.0006

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3080.997 + 1958.069) / 13892.569) / (1 - (2860.137 + 2265.973) / 14492.256)
=0.637283 / 0.646286
=0.9861

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3935.642 / 6230.977
=0.6316

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(178.58 / (178.58 + 2265.973)) / (0 / (0 + 1958.069))
=0.073052 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(631.111 / 3935.642) / (967.34 / 6230.977)
=0.160358 / 0.155247
=1.0329

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4305.481 + 2754.564) / 13892.569) / ((4852.579 + 3319.425) / 14492.256)
=0.508189 / 0.563888
=0.9012

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(427.481 - 0 - 0) / 13892.569
=0.03077

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Thai Beverage has a M-score of -1.98 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Thai Beverage Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Thai Beverage (Thai Beverage) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
14 Vibhavadi Rangsit Road, Chomphon Sub-District, Chatuchak District, Bangkok, THA, 10900
Thai Beverage PLC is a Thailand-based company engaged in producing and distributing alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages and food. The company's operating segment includes Spirits; Beer; Non-alcoholic beverages and Food. It generates maximum revenue from the Beer segment. The Spirits segment is engaged in the production and sales of branded spirits products and soda. Its Beer segment is engaged in the production and sales of raw materials and branded beer products. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from Thailand and also has a presence in the Socialist Republic of Vietnam and Overseas.

Thai Beverage (Thai Beverage) Headlines

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