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Tesco (TSCDY) Beneish M-Score

: -3.66 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.66 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tesco's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSCDY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.46   Med: -2.6   Max: -2.09
Current: -3.66

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tesco was -2.09. The lowest was -4.46. And the median was -2.60.


Tesco Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tesco's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tesco Annual Data
Trend Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -2.09 -2.65 -2.54 -3.66

Tesco Semi-Annual Data
Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.65 - -2.54 - -3.66

Competitive Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Tesco's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tesco Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Tesco's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tesco's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Tesco Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tesco for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.2424+0.528 * 0.7828+0.404 * 0.6867+0.892 * 1.084+0.115 * 1.0014
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9495+4.679 * -0.056357-0.327 * 1.0691
=-3.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb24) TTM:Last Year (Feb23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,703 Mil.
Revenue was $86,095 Mil.
Gross Profit was $6,122 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $20,967 Mil.
Total Assets was $59,393 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $28,660 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,176 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,561 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $25,848 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $16,062 Mil.
Net Income was $1,500 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $4,847 Mil.
Total Receivables was $6,482 Mil.
Revenue was $79,423 Mil.
Gross Profit was $4,421 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $15,368 Mil.
Total Assets was $55,715 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $27,007 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,053 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,488 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $21,419 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $15,354 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1703.283 / 86094.697) / (6481.884 / 79422.705)
=0.019784 / 0.081612
=0.2424

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4421.498 / 79422.705) / (6122.475 / 86094.697)
=0.05567 / 0.071113
=0.7828

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (20967.172 + 28660.354) / 59392.677) / (1 - (15368.357 + 27007.246) / 55714.976)
=0.164417 / 0.239422
=0.6867

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=86094.697 / 79422.705
=1.084

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2053.14 / (2053.14 + 27007.246)) / (2175.505 / (2175.505 + 28660.354))
=0.070651 / 0.070551
=1.0014

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2560.606 / 86094.697) / (2487.923 / 79422.705)
=0.029742 / 0.031325
=0.9495

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((16061.869 + 25848.485) / 59392.677) / ((15353.865 + 21419.082) / 55714.976)
=0.705649 / 0.660019
=1.0691

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1500 - 0 - 4847.222) / 59392.677
=-0.056357

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tesco has a M-score of -3.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Tesco (TSCDY) Business Description

Address
Kestrel Way, Tesco House, Shire Park, Welwyn Garden, GBR, AL7 1GA
Tesco is one of the largest food retailers in the world, operating thousands of stores in the United Kingdom, Ireland, and Europe. According to Kantar, Tesco is the market leader in the U.K. with a share of more than 27%, roughly double that of Asda or Sainsbury's. Tesco operates a core supermarket business in addition to convenience and neighborhood outlets. With a 35% digital market share in the U.K., the company holds a dominant position online. Tesco gained exposure to the cash-and-carry and out-of-home delivering industries with the landmark GBP 4 billion acquisition of Booker in 2018.

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