Park National Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Park National for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1.2073 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1.0474 | + | 0.892 * 0.9643 | + | 0.115 * 0.9125 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.0936 | + | 4.679 * -0.002417 | - | 0.327 * 2.0498 |
| = | -2.68 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $63.3 Mil.
Revenue was 110.593 + 121.982 + 116.587 + 116.585 = $465.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 110.593 + 121.982 + 116.587 + 116.585 = $465.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,614.4 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,836.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $92.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $14.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $194.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $226.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $205.8 Mil.
Net Income was 24.5 + 36.917 + 31.584 + 33.733 = $126.7 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 53.649 + 39.186 + 33.267 + 24.402 = $150.5 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was $54.3 Mil.
Revenue was 120.998 + 137.522 + 115.132 + 109.342 = $483.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 120.998 + 137.522 + 115.132 + 109.342 = $483.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,977.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,855.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $101.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $13.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $184.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $208.0 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (63.265 / 465.747) | / | (54.341 / 482.994) |
| = | 0.135836 | / | 0.112509 |
| | = | 1.2073 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (482.994 / 482.994) | / | (465.747 / 465.747) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (1614.375 + 92.232) / 9836.453) | / | (1 - (1977.765 + 100.991) / 9854.993) |
| = | 0.826502 | / | 0.789066 |
| | = | 1.0474 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 465.747 | / | 482.994 |
| | = | 0.9643 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (13.819 / (13.819 + 100.991)) | / | (14.015 / (14.015 + 92.232)) |
| = | 0.120364 | / | 0.13191 |
| | = | 0.9125 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (194.612 / 465.747) | / | (184.537 / 482.994) |
| = | 0.417849 | / | 0.382069 |
| | = | 1.0936 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((205.752 + 226.86) / 9836.453) | / | ((207.958 + 3.486) / 9854.993) |
| = | 0.04398 | / | 0.021456 |
| | = | 2.0498 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (126.734 - 0 | - | 150.504) | / | 9836.453 |
| | = | -0.002417 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Park National has a M-score of -2.68 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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