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Sasol (SSL) Beneish M-Score

: -2.50 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.5 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sasol's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SSL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.77   Med: -2.54   Max: -2.13
Current: -2.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Sasol was -2.13. The lowest was -2.77. And the median was -2.54.


Sasol Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sasol's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sasol Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -2.18 -2.45 -2.13 -2.50

Sasol Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.45 - -2.13 - -2.50

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Sasol's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sasol Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Sasol's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sasol's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Sasol Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Sasol for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7213+0.528 * 1.1831+0.404 * 1.126+0.892 * 0.8961+0.115 * 0.8728
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0075+4.679 * 0.010723-0.327 * 1.0127
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,937 Mil.
Revenue was $15,455 Mil.
Gross Profit was $6,450 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,160 Mil.
Total Assets was $23,144 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $12,652 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $880 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,348 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,735 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,798 Mil.
Net Income was $469 Mil.
Gross Profit was $-1,668 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $1,890 Mil.
Total Receivables was $2,997 Mil.
Revenue was $17,247 Mil.
Gross Profit was $8,516 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $8,345 Mil.
Total Assets was $26,529 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $14,793 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $890 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,601 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,803 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $6,119 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1937.391 / 15454.739) / (2997.458 / 17246.687)
=0.125359 / 0.173799
=0.7213

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8515.91 / 17246.687) / (6450.216 / 15454.739)
=0.493771 / 0.417362
=1.1831

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7160.332 + 12651.882) / 23144.445) / (1 - (8344.673 + 14792.657) / 26529.492)
=0.143975 / 0.127864
=1.126

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=15454.739 / 17246.687
=0.8961

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(889.885 / (889.885 + 14792.657)) / (879.764 / (879.764 + 12651.882))
=0.056744 / 0.065015
=0.8728

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2348.065 / 15454.739) / (2600.921 / 17246.687)
=0.151932 / 0.150807
=1.0075

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5798.195 + 4735.073) / 23144.445) / ((6118.854 + 5803.129) / 26529.492)
=0.45511 / 0.449386
=1.0127

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(469.41 - -1668.463 - 1889.697) / 23144.445
=0.010723

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Sasol has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Sasol (SSL) Business Description

Address
50 Katherine Street, Sasol Place, Sandton, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2196
Sasol Ltd operates as a vertically integrated chemicals and energy company through its two main segments: Energy business and Chemical business. It generates maximum revenue from the Chemicals segment. The company operates coal mines and its upstream interests in oil and gas, both of which are used as feedstock in the company's energy and chemicals operations. Sasol markets commodity and performance chemicals, sells liquid fuel products, and markets, distributes and transports pipeline gas. Geographically the company generates the majority of its revenue from South Africa.