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Tesco PLC  (OTCPK:TSCDY) Beneish M-Score: -2.59 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.

Tesco PLC has a M-score of -2.70 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.

OTCPK:TSCDY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.92   Max: -1.96
Current: -2.59

-4.92
-1.96

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tesco PLC was -1.96. The lowest was -4.92. And the median was -4.58.


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

* Premium members only.

Tesco PLC Annual Data

Feb08 Feb09 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.77 -4.67 -1.96 -2.59

Tesco PLC Semi-Annual Data

Aug07 Feb08 Aug08 Feb09 Aug09 Feb10 Aug10 Feb11 Aug11 Feb12 Aug12 Feb13 Aug13 Feb14 Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.67 0.00 -1.96 0.00 -2.59

Competitive Comparison
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap.


Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tesco PLC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0119+0.528 * 1.0161+0.404 * 1.0428+0.892 * 0.9072+0.115 * 1.0325
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9109+4.679 * -0.0443-0.327 * 0.9662
=-2.70

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

This Year (Feb17) TTM:Last Year (Feb16) TTM:
Accounts Receivable was $1,844 Mil.
Revenue was $69,896 Mil.
Gross Profit was $3,628 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $19,271 Mil.
Total Assets was $57,316 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $22,635 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,630 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,168 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $24,256 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $11,791 Mil.
Net Income was $-50 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $2,486 Mil.
Accounts Receivable was $2,009 Mil.
Revenue was $77,047 Mil.
Gross Profit was $4,063 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $20,977 Mil.
Total Assets was $62,720 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $25,571 Mil.
(DDA) was $1,906 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,623 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $25,523 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $15,301 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Accounts Receivable in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1843.75 / 69896.25) / (2008.57142857 / 77047.1428571)
=0.02637838 / 0.02606938
=1.0119

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4062.85714286 / 77047.1428571) / (3627.5 / 69896.25)
=0.05273209 / 0.05189835
=1.0161

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (19271.25 + 22635) / 57316.25) / (1 - (20977.1428571 + 25571.4285714) / 62720)
=0.26885918 / 0.25783528
=1.0428

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=69896.25 / 77047.1428571
=0.9072

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1905.71428571 / (1905.71428571 + 25571.4285714)) / (1630 / (1630 + 22635))
=0.06935635 / 0.06717494
=1.0325

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of c in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2167.5 / 69896.25) / (2622.85714286 / 77047.1428571)
=0.03101025 / 0.03404224
=0.9109

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((11791.25 + 24256.25) / 57316.25) / ((15301.4285714 + 25522.8571429) / 62720)
=0.62892286 / 0.65089741
=0.9662

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-50 - 0 - 2486.25) / 57316.25
=-0.0443

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tesco PLC has a M-score of -2.70 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.


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