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Atco (TSX:ACO.X) Beneish M-Score : -2.59 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Atco Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.59 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Atco's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:ACO.X' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.19   Med: -2.79   Max: -2.17
Current: -2.59

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Atco was -2.17. The lowest was -3.19. And the median was -2.79.


Atco Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Atco's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Atco Beneish M-Score Chart

Atco Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 -2.86 -2.64 -2.67 -2.87

Atco Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.90 -2.87 -2.73 -2.85 -2.59

Competitive Comparison of Atco's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Diversified subindustry, Atco's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Atco's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Atco's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Atco's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Atco Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Atco for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3153+0.528 * 0.9805+0.404 * 1.0103+0.892 * 0.9805+0.115 * 0.9629
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1571+4.679 * -0.074889-0.327 * 0.996
=-2.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$846 Mil.
Revenue was 1116 + 1112 + 1324 + 1221 = C$4,773 Mil.
Gross Profit was 704 + 713 + 861 + 789 = C$3,067 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,854 Mil.
Total Assets was C$26,052 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$21,599 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$836 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$717 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$1,057 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$11,571 Mil.
Net Income was 93 + 52 + 147 + 95 = C$387 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 60 + 21 + 48 + 100 = C$229 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 462 + 564 + 554 + 529 = C$2,109 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$656 Mil.
Revenue was 1058 + 1104 + 1358 + 1348 = C$4,868 Mil.
Gross Profit was 670 + 712 + 863 + 822 = C$3,067 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,873 Mil.
Total Assets was C$25,094 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$20,743 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$772 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$632 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$1,828 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$10,384 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(846 / 4773) / (656 / 4868)
=0.177247 / 0.134758
=1.3153

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3067 / 4868) / (3067 / 4773)
=0.630033 / 0.642573
=0.9805

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1854 + 21599) / 26052) / (1 - (1873 + 20743) / 25094)
=0.099762 / 0.098749
=1.0103

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4773 / 4868
=0.9805

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(772 / (772 + 20743)) / (836 / (836 + 21599))
=0.035882 / 0.037263
=0.9629

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(717 / 4773) / (632 / 4868)
=0.15022 / 0.129827
=1.1571

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((11571 + 1057) / 26052) / ((10384 + 1828) / 25094)
=0.484723 / 0.48665
=0.996

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(387 - 229 - 2109) / 26052
=-0.074889

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Atco has a M-score of -2.59 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Atco Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5302 Forand Street SW, 4th Floor, West Building, Calgary, AB, CAN, T3E 8B4
Atco Ltd is a Canadian holding company that offers gas, electric, and infrastructure solutions. The largest subsidiary of the company is Canadian utilities, which operates natural gas, electricity, and logistical services. Atco's primary segments include Structures and Logistics, ATCO Energy Systems, ATCO EnPower, and Corporate and Other. It generates maximum revenue from the ATCO Energy Systems segment. Geographically, it derives most of its revenue from Canada.

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