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VF (VFC) Beneish M-Score

: -3.18 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.18 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for VF's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

VFC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.18   Med: -2.57   Max: -1.88
Current: -3.18

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of VF was -1.88. The lowest was -3.18. And the median was -2.57.


VF Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for VF's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

VF Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 -2.49 -2.63 -2.16 -1.88

VF Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.96 -1.88 -2.21 -2.51 -3.18

Competitive Comparison

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, VF's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


VF Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, VF's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where VF's Beneish M-Score falls into.



VF Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of VF for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9078+0.528 * 1.0164+0.404 * 0.9039+0.892 * 0.925+0.115 * 1.6277
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0417+4.679 * -0.118558-0.327 * 1.0961
=-3.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,314 Mil.
Revenue was 2960.283 + 3034.239 + 2086.336 + 2739.613 = $10,820 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1632.412 + 1555.211 + 1101.067 + 1358.024 = $5,647 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,936 Mil.
Total Assets was $12,616 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,228 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $304 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $4,916 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,997 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,889 Mil.
Net Income was -42.452 + -450.697 + -57.425 + -214.892 = $-765 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -227.067 + -3.51 + -3.567 + -318.966 = $-553 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1125.008 + -182.836 + 163.575 + 177.677 = $1,283 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,565 Mil.
Revenue was 3530.667 + 3080.6 + 2261.595 + 2824.664 = $11,698 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1937.619 + 1582.423 + 1218.613 + 1465.872 = $6,205 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,244 Mil.
Total Assets was $14,313 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,226 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $540 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $5,102 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,546 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,686 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1314.139 / 10820.471) / (1564.957 / 11697.526)
=0.121449 / 0.133785
=0.9078

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6204.527 / 11697.526) / (5646.714 / 10820.471)
=0.530414 / 0.521855
=1.0164

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4935.926 + 2227.69) / 12616.474) / (1 - (5243.982 + 2225.704) / 14313.297)
=0.432201 / 0.47813
=0.9039

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10820.471 / 11697.526
=0.925

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(540.302 / (540.302 + 2225.704)) / (303.8 / (303.8 + 2227.69))
=0.195337 / 0.120008
=1.6277

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4915.711 / 10820.471) / (5101.637 / 11697.526)
=0.454297 / 0.43613
=1.0417

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5889.001 + 3997.283) / 12616.474) / ((5686.185 + 4546.234) / 14313.297)
=0.783601 / 0.714889
=1.0961

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-765.466 - -553.11 - 1283.424) / 12616.474
=-0.118558

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

VF has a M-score of -3.18 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


VF (VFC) Business Description

Address
1551 Wewatta Street, Denver, CO, USA, 80202
VF designs, produces, and distributes branded apparel, footwear, and accessories. Its apparel categories are active, outdoor, and work. Its portfolio of about a dozen brands includes Vans, The North Face, Timberland, Supreme, and Dickies. VF markets its products in the Americas, Europe, and Asia-Pacific through wholesale sales to retailers, e-commerce, and branded stores owned by the company and partners. The company has grown through multiple acquisitions and traces its roots to 1899.
Executives
Matthew J Shattock director 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Brent Hyder officer: EVP, Chief People Officer 415 MISSION STREET, 3RD FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Trevor A Edwards director 2080 NW 133RD PLACE, PORTLAND OR 97229
Richard Carucci director 1441 GARDINER LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 47113
Bracken Darrell officer: President & Chief Exec Officer 2000 M-63N, BENTON HARBOR MI 49022
Juliana L Chugg director 1200 WILLOW LAKE BOULEVARD, PO BOX 64683, ST PAUL MN 55164-0683
Benno O Dorer director 1221 BROADWAY, OAKLAND CA 94612
Clarence Jr Otis director 1095 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Mark Samuel Hoplamazian director 71 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4700, CHICAGO IL 60606
Anita Z Graham officer: EVP, CHRO & Public Affairs C/O THE ADT CORPORATION, 1501 YAMATO ROAD, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Nicole Beth Otto officer: EVP & Global Brand Pres. TNF C/O CONTAINER STORE GROUP, INC., 500 FREEPORT PARKWAY, COPPELL TX 75019
W Rodney Mcmullen director 1014 VINE ST, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Alex Cho director HP, 1501 PAGE MILL ROAD, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Matthew H Puckett officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 1551 WEWATTA STREET, DENVER CO 80202
Jennifer S. Sim officer: EVP, GC & Secretary 1551 WEWATTA STREET, DENVER CO 80202