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Cyfrowy Polsat (WAR:CPS) Beneish M-Score

: -2.75 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.75 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cyfrowy Polsat's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:CPS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.85   Med: -2.67   Max: -0.86
Current: -2.75

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Cyfrowy Polsat was -0.86. The lowest was -2.85. And the median was -2.67.


Cyfrowy Polsat Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cyfrowy Polsat's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cyfrowy Polsat Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -2.85 -2.30 -2.38 -2.75

Cyfrowy Polsat Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.43 -2.80 -2.65 -2.75

Competitive Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, Cyfrowy Polsat's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cyfrowy Polsat Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Cyfrowy Polsat's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cyfrowy Polsat's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Cyfrowy Polsat Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Cyfrowy Polsat for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9599+0.528 * 1.0556+0.404 * 0.8546+0.892 * 1.0551+0.115 * 1.362
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9404+4.679 * -0.056861-0.327 * 1.113
=-2.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł3,276 Mil.
Revenue was 3681.5 + 3455.7 + 3289.8 + 3199.3 = zł13,626 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1588.2 + 1497.8 + 1552.5 + 1483.6 = zł6,122 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł9,028 Mil.
Total Assets was zł37,177 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł7,139 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł2,580 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł1,027 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł5,517 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł13,934 Mil.
Net Income was 100.5 + 120.8 + -7.3 + 64.5 = zł279 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 924.1 + 228.6 + 940.1 + 299.6 = zł2,392 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł3,235 Mil.
Revenue was 3429.6 + 3270.9 + 3228.1 + 2986.7 = zł12,915 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1613.8 + 1552.3 + 1533.2 + 1426.2 = zł6,126 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł6,531 Mil.
Total Assets was zł32,307 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł4,410 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł2,498 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł1,035 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł6,315 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł8,871 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3275.9 / 13626.3) / (3234.7 / 12915.3)
=0.24041 / 0.250455
=0.9599

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6125.5 / 12915.3) / (6122.1 / 13626.3)
=0.474282 / 0.449286
=1.0556

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9027.5 + 7138.9) / 37176.7) / (1 - (6531.3 + 4409.9) / 32306.6)
=0.565147 / 0.661332
=0.8546

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=13626.3 / 12915.3
=1.0551

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2497.6 / (2497.6 + 4409.9)) / (2580.1 / (2580.1 + 7138.9))
=0.361578 / 0.26547
=1.362

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1026.9 / 13626.3) / (1035 / 12915.3)
=0.075362 / 0.080138
=0.9404

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13934.3 + 5516.6) / 37176.7) / ((8870.8 + 6315.4) / 32306.6)
=0.523201 / 0.470065
=1.113

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(278.5 - 0 - 2392.4) / 37176.7
=-0.056861

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Cyfrowy Polsat has a M-score of -2.75 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Cyfrowy Polsat Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Cyfrowy Polsat (WAR:CPS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4a, Lubinowa Street, Warsaw, POL, 03-878
Cyfrowy Polsat SA operates in Poland as a provider of a paid digital satellite platform under the name of 'Polsat Box' and paid digital terrestrial television as well as the telecommunication services provider. The group operates in the following three segments: B2C and B2B services segment which relate to the provision of services to the general public, including digital television transmission signal, mobile services, internet access services, mobile TV services, online TV services, and set-top box production, Media segment consists mainly of production, acquisition, and broadcasting of information and entertainment programs, and TV series and feature films, Real Estate segment consists construction, sale, rental, and management of own or leased real estate.