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Moncler SpA (WBO:MONC) Beneish M-Score

: -2.28 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.28 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Moncler SpA's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WBO:MONC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.17   Med: -2.57   Max: -2.28
Current: -2.28

During the past 14 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Moncler SpA was -2.28. The lowest was -3.17. And the median was -2.57.


Moncler SpA Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Moncler SpA's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Moncler SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.17 -2.62 -2.45 -2.28 -

Moncler SpA Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.45 - -2.28 - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Moncler SpA's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Moncler SpA Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Moncler SpA's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Moncler SpA's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Moncler SpA Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Moncler SpA for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0317+0.528 * 1.0027+0.404 * 0.9458+0.892 * 1.2721+0.115 * 1.0746
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9656+4.679 * -0.012045-0.327 * 1.0187
=-2.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was €344 Mil.
Revenue was €2,603 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,988 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,621 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,639 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,074 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €265 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,213 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €964 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €719 Mil.
Net Income was €607 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €663 Mil.
Total Receivables was €262 Mil.
Revenue was €2,046 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,567 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,464 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,268 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €913 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €247 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €988 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €895 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €625 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(343.902 / 2602.89) / (262.032 / 2046.103)
=0.132123 / 0.128064
=1.0317

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1566.906 / 2046.103) / (1987.843 / 2602.89)
=0.7658 / 0.763706
=1.0027

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1620.996 + 1074.49) / 4639.312) / (1 - (1463.956 + 913.322) / 4267.989)
=0.41899 / 0.442998
=0.9458

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2602.89 / 2046.103
=1.2721

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(246.519 / (246.519 + 913.322)) / (264.917 / (264.917 + 1074.49))
=0.212546 / 0.197787
=1.0746

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1213.296 / 2602.89) / (987.686 / 2046.103)
=0.466134 / 0.482716
=0.9656

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((718.709 + 963.713) / 4639.312) / ((624.732 + 894.605) / 4267.989)
=0.362645 / 0.355984
=1.0187

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(606.697 - 0 - 662.577) / 4639.312
=-0.012045

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Moncler SpA has a M-score of -2.28 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Moncler SpA Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Moncler SpA (WBO:MONC) Business Description

Address
Via Stendhal, 47, Milan, ITA, 20144
Moncler consists of its namesake brand and Stone Island (acquired in 2021). The Moncler brand is one of the leading players in luxury outerwear. It is globally present with 36% of sales generated in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, 17% in the Americas, and 47% in Asia and rest of the world. Most of the company's sales are direct to consumer, with almost 80% generated through the own-retail channel. Around 75%-80% of revenue is generated in the core outerwear segment, with the remainder in the accessory, knitwear, and footwear categories. Stone Island contributed around 15% of revenue in 2022.

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