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Ford Motor Co (XKAZ:F_KZ) Beneish M-Score

: -2.37 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.37 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ford Motor Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XKAZ:F_KZ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.12   Med: -2.66   Max: -2.23
Current: -2.37

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ford Motor Co was -2.23. The lowest was -3.12. And the median was -2.66.


Ford Motor Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ford Motor Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ford Motor Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -2.79 -3.12 -2.23 -2.37

Ford Motor Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.23 -2.34 -2.30 -2.36 -2.37

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Ford Motor Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ford Motor Co Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ford Motor Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ford Motor Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ford Motor Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ford Motor Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0219+0.528 * 1.184+0.404 * 1.0572+0.892 * 1.1147+0.115 * 1.0283
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8817+4.679 * -0.032311-0.327 * 1.015
=-2.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $62,026 Mil.
Revenue was 45962 + 43801 + 44954 + 41474 = $176,191 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2530 + 3800 + 5211 + 4619 = $16,160 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $121,481 Mil.
Total Assets was $273,310 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $62,205 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $6,523 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $10,702 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $101,531 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $100,957 Mil.
Net Income was -526 + 1199 + 1917 + 1757 = $4,347 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -1685 + 174 + -239 + 10 = $-1,740 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2492 + 4591 + 5035 + 2800 = $14,918 Mil.
Total Receivables was $54,449 Mil.
Revenue was 43999 + 39392 + 40190 + 34476 = $158,057 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4103 + 3351 + 5627 + 4083 = $17,164 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $116,476 Mil.
Total Assets was $255,884 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $60,037 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $6,493 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $10,888 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $96,866 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $89,906 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(62026 / 176191) / (54449 / 158057)
=0.352038 / 0.34449
=1.0219

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(17164 / 158057) / (16160 / 176191)
=0.108594 / 0.091719
=1.184

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (121481 + 62205) / 273310) / (1 - (116476 + 60037) / 255884)
=0.327921 / 0.310184
=1.0572

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=176191 / 158057
=1.1147

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6493 / (6493 + 60037)) / (6523 / (6523 + 62205))
=0.097595 / 0.09491
=1.0283

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(10702 / 176191) / (10888 / 158057)
=0.060741 / 0.068887
=0.8817

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((100957 + 101531) / 273310) / ((89906 + 96866) / 255884)
=0.740873 / 0.729909
=1.015

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4347 - -1740 - 14918) / 273310
=-0.032311

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ford Motor Co has a M-score of -2.37 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Ford Motor Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ford Motor Co (XKAZ:F_KZ) Business Description

Address
One American Road, Dearborn, MI, USA, 48126
Ford Motor Co. manufactures automobiles under its Ford and Lincoln brands. In March 2022, the company announced that it will run its combustion engine business, Ford Blue, and its BEV business, Ford Model e, as separate businesses but still all under Ford Motor. The company has about 13% market share in the United States, about 6.5% share in Europe, and about 2.1% share in China including unconsolidated affiliates. We expect market share to increase as inventory improves coming out of the chip shortage. Sales in the U.S. made up about 67% of 2022 total company revenue. Ford has about 173,000 employees, including about 57,000 UAW employees, and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.

Ford Motor Co (XKAZ:F_KZ) Headlines

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