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Progressive Free Cash Flow per Share

: $10.97 (TTM As of Jun. 2022)
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Progressive's Free Cash Flow per Share for the three months ended in Jun. 2022 was $2.26. Its Free Cash Flow per Share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2022 was $10.97.

During the past 12 months, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate of Progressive was -17.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 7.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 23.10% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 21.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the FCF Growth Rate using Free Cash Flow per Share data.

The historical rank and industry rank for Progressive's Free Cash Flow per Share or its related term are showing as below:

PGR' s 3-Year FCF Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -14.2   Med: 7.7   Max: 51.1
Current: 7.7

During the past 13 years, Progressive's highest 3-Year average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 51.10% per year. The lowest was -14.20% per year. And the median was 7.70% per year.

PGR's 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is ranked worse than
52.53% of 356 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 10.20 vs PGR: 7.70

Progressive Free Cash Flow per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Progressive's Free Cash Flow per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Progressive Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Free Cash Flow per Share
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.15 10.26 10.04 11.37 12.81

Progressive Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Free Cash Flow per Share Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.88 3.89 0.68 4.14 2.26

Progressive Free Cash Flow per Share Calculation

Free Cashflow per Share is the amount of Free Cashflow per outstanding share of the company's stock.

Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a company's earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any year's Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company.

Note: GuruFocus does not calculate Free Cash Flow Per Share when Capital Expenditure is 0.

Progressive's Free Cash Flow Per Share for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2021 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow Per Share(A: Dec. 2021 )
=(Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(7761.7+-243.5)/587.100
=7518.2/587.100
=12.81

Progressive's Free Cash Flow Per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2022 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow Per Share(Q: Jun. 2022 )
=(Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(1389.6+-63.7)/586.500
=1325.9/586.500
=2.26

Free Cash Flow per Share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2022 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $10.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Progressive  (NYSE:PGR) Free Cash Flow per Share Explanation

Free Cash Flow is very close to Warren Buffett's definition of Owner's Earnings, except that in Warren Buffett's Owner's Earnings, the spending for Property, Plant, and Equipment is only for maintenance (replacement), while in the Free Cash Flow calculation, the cost of new Property, Plant, and Equipment due to business expansion is also deducted. There, Free Cash Flow is more conservative than Owner's Earnings.

In Don Yacktman's calculation of forward rate of return, he uses Free Cash Flow for the calculation. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation.

This is what Yacktman said in his March 2012 interview - when the S&P 500 was at 1400:

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over seven years. The reason we use seven years is because research shows that seven years is the length of the typical business cycle.

Therefore, as of Dec21, Progressive's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % (Dec21)=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=10.52171429/116.27+0.1296
=22.01 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Free Cash Flow within a report period can be affected by management's decisions of capital spending. Therefore, it is important to look at long term when it comes to Free Cash Flow.


Progressive Free Cash Flow per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Progressive's Free Cash Flow per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Progressive Business Description

Progressive logo
Address
6300 Wilson Mills Road, Mayfield Village, OH, USA, 44143
Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines; it has over 20 million personal auto policies in force and is the fourth- largest auto insurer in the United States. Progressive markets its policies through independent insurance agencies in the U.S. and Canada and directly via the internet and telephone. Its premiums are split roughly equally between the agent and the direct channel. The company also offers commercial auto policies and entered homeowners insurance through an acquisition in 2015.
Executives
Craig Pamela director C/O ACCENTURE 161 N CLARK STREET CHICAGO IL 60601
Clawson William L. Ii officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Kent Remi officer: Chief Marketing Officer 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Bauer Jonathan S. officer: Chief Investment Officer 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Marshall Mariann Wojtkun officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION 6300 WILSON MILLS RD. MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Tighe Jan E director C/O GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. LLC 200 WEST STREET NEW YORK NY 10282
Snyder Barbara R director 127 PUBLIC SQUARE CLEVELAND OH 44114
Quigg Andrew J officer: Chief Strategy Officer C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Bleser Philip director 8760 CLAY ROAD SUITE 100 HOUSTON TX 77494
Broz Steven officer: Chief Information Officer C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Niederst Lori A officer: CRM President C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Bailo Karen officer: Commercial Lines President 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Mascaro Daniel P officer: Vice Pres, Secretary and CLO C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Murphy John Jo officer: Claims President C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Callahan Patrick K officer: Personal Lines President C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143

Progressive Headlines

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