Dominion Energy (Dominion Energy) Predictability Rank

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What is Dominion Energy Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Dominion Energy Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Dominion Energy (Dominion Energy) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Utilities » Utilities - Regulated » Dominion Energy Inc (NYSE:D) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

1D:Italy DOD:Germany DOD:Germany D1OM34:Brazil

Address

120 Tredegar Street, Richmond, VA, USA, 23219

Website

https://www.dominionenergy.com

Based in Richmond, Virginia, Dominion Energy is an integrated energy company with over 30 gigawatts of electric generation capacity and more than 90,000 miles of electric transmission and distribution lines. Dominion is constructing a rate-regulated 5.2 GW wind farm off the Virginia Beach coast.

Executives

Diane Leopold	other: President - Dominion Energy	120 TREDEGAR STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Susan N Story	director	ONE ENERGY PLACE, PENSCOLA FL 32520
Steven D Ridge	officer: SVP & CFO	120 TREDEGAR STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Kristin G Lovejoy	director	120 TREDEGAR STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Robert M Blue	officer: Senior Vice President	120 TREDEGAR STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
William Keller Kissam	officer: President - Dominion Energy SC	DOMINION ENERGY, 120 TREDEGAR STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
James R. Chapman	officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer	120 TREDEGAR STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Mark J Kington	director	100 TREDEGAR STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Farrell Thomas F Ii	officer: Executive Vice President	P O BOX 26532, RICHOMOND VA 23261
Edward H Baine	officer: President - Dominion Energy VA	600 CANAL PLACE, RICHMOND VA 23219
Donald R. Raikes	officer: President - Gas Distribution	120 TREDEGAR STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Paul E Ruppert	officer: President-Gas Trans & Storage	5000 DOMINION BOULEVARD, GLEN ALLEN VA 23060
Daniel G. Stoddard	officer: SVP and Chief Nuclear Officer	5000 DOMINION BOULEVARD, GLEN ALLEN VA 23060
Michael E Szymanczyk	director	DOMINION RESOURCES, INC., 100 TREDEGAR STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Joseph M Rigby	director	SOUTH JERSEY INDUSTRIES, 1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037