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Haemonetics (Haemonetics) Predictability Rank


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What is Haemonetics Predictability Rank?

1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Haemonetics Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Haemonetics Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Haemonetics's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Haemonetics (Haemonetics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
125 Summer Street, Boston, MA, USA, 02110
Haemonetics Corp aims to improve patient care and reduce the cost of healthcare by providing medical products and solutions in the blood and plasma component collection, surgical suite, and hospital transfusion service spaces. As such, the company operates under three segments: plasma, blood center, and hospital. The company places primary emphasis on its plasma and hospital segments due to their robust growth potential, whereas the blood center segment tends to be constrained by higher competition. Product revenue is driven by demand for disposable blood component collection and processing sets and the related equipment needed for proper functionality.
Executives
Stewart W Strong officer: President, Global Hospital C/O HAEMONETICS CORPORATION, 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Anila Lingamneni officer: EVP, Chief Technology Officer HAEMONETICS CORPORATION, 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Charles J Dockendorff director COVIDIEN LTD., 15 HAMPSHIRE STREET, MANSFIELD MA 02048
Diane M Bryant director 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Josep Llorens officer: EVP, Global Manufacturing HAEMONETICS CORPORATION, 400 WOOD ROAD, BRAINTREE MA 02184
Michelle L Basil officer: EVP and General Counsel HAEMONETICS CORPORATION, 400 WOOD ROAD, BRAINTREE MA 02184
Farris Maryanne Maunsell officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer C/O HAEMONETICS CORPORATION, 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Roy Galvin officer: President, Global Plasma & BC C/O HAEMONETICS CORPORATION, 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Laurie A. Miller officer: SVP, Human Resources C/O HAEMONETICS CORPORATION, 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Mark W Kroll director PO BOX 23, CRYSTAL BAY MN 55323
Dan Goldstein officer: VP, Corporate Controller HAEMONETICS CORPORATION, 400 WOOD ROAD, BRAINTREE MA 02184
Christopher Simon, director, officer: President & CEO HAEMONETICS CORPORATION, 400 WOOD ROAD, BRAINTREE MA 02184
James Darecca officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O HAEMONETICS CORPORATION, 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Burke William P. Mr. officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer HAEMONETICS CORPORATION, 400 WOOD ROAD, BRAINTREE MA 02184
Lloyd Emerson Johnson director 16737 NEW PROVIDENCE LANE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277