>
Switch to:

Cadence Design Systems Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to 1990. Start your Free Trial
4 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Cadence Design Systems's Predictability Rank, along with its competitors' market caps and Predictability Rank data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Cadence Design Systems Predictability Rank Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Cadence Design Systems's Predictability Rank distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cadence Design Systems's Predictability Rank falls into.



Cadence Design Systems Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Cadence Design Systems Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cadence Design Systems's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cadence Design Systems Business Description

Cadence Design Systems logo
Industry
Technology » Software NAICS : 511210 SIC : 7372
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2655 Seely Avenue, Building 5, San Jose, CA, USA, 95134
Cadence Design Systems was founded in 1988 after the merger of ECAD and SDA Systems. Cadence is known as an electronic design automation, or EDA, firm that specializes in developing software, hardware, and intellectual property that automates the design and verification of integrated circuits or larger chip systems. Historically, semiconductor firms have relied on the firm's tools, but there has been a shift toward other nontraditional "systems" users given the development of the Internet of Things, artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles, and cloud computing. Cadence is headquartered in Silicon Valley, has approximately 8,100 employees worldwide, and was added to the S&P 500 in late 2017.
Executives
Teng Chin-chi officer: Sr. Vice President 2655 SEELY AVENUE SAN JOSE CA 95134
Tan Lip Bu director, officer: CEO ONE CALIFORNIA STREET 28TH FLOOR SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Beckley Thomas P officer: Sr. Vice President 2655 SEELY AVENUE SAN JOSE CA 95134
Wall John M officer: Sr. VP & CFO 2655 SEELY AVENUE SAN JOSE CA 95134
Mandava Surendra Babu officer: Sr. Vice President 47211 LAKEVIEW BLVD FREMONT CA 94538
Devgan Anirudh officer: President 2655 SEELY AVENUE SAN JOSE CA 95134
Zaman Aneel officer: Sr. Vice President 2655 SEELY AVENUE SAN JOSE CA 95134
Bostrom Susan L director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: BOSTROM SUSAN L a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Flaminia Alinka officer: Sr. VP, Chief Legal Officer 3975 FREEDOM CIRCLE SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Siboni Roger S director 1900 SOUTH NORFOLK STREET SAN MATEO CA 94403
Cowie James J officer: Sr. VP, General Counsel 2655 SEELY AVENUE BLDG. 5 SAN JOSE CA 95134
Chew Lewis director DOLBY LABORATORIES, INC. 1275 MARKET STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Brennan Ita M director 5453 GREAT AMERICA PARKWAY SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Adams Mark director 834 TERRACE DRIVE LOS ALTOS CA 94024
Wilderotter Mary Agnes director 115 ALPINE TERRACE OAKLAND CA 94618

Cadence Design Systems Headlines

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)