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Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Predictability Rank


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Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co's Predictability Rank, along with its competitors' market caps and Predictability Rank data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Predictability Rank Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co's Predictability Rank distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co's Predictability Rank falls into.



Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Business Description

Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co logo
Industry
Healthcare » Biotechnology NAICS : 325412 SIC : 2834
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
C/o Biohaven Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 215 Church Street, New Haven, CT, USA, 06510
Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Ltd is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. It has a portfolio of late-stage product candidates targeting neurological diseases, including rare disorders. The company product candidates are based on multiple mechanisms-calcitonin gene-related peptide receptor antagonists, glutamate modulators and myeloperoxidase inhibitor. Its pipeline products include BHV-3100, BHV5000, BHV5500, among others.
Executives
Bailey Gregory director 4 A CHESHAM STREET LONDON X0 SW1X8DT
Gentile Kimberly officer: SVP, Clinical Operations C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Childs John W director 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE SUITE 2900 BOSTON MA 02199
Berman Robert officer: Special Projects & Med Ovrsght C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Doogan Declan director C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Stock Elyse officer: Chief Medical Officer 215 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Engelhart James officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Tilton John officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Hugin Robert J director C/O THE MEDICINES CO 8 CAMPUS DR PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Heffernan Michael Thomas director C/O CORNERSTONE THERAPEUTICS INC. 1255 CRESCENT GREEN DRIVE, SUITE 250 CARY NC 27518
Gregory Julia P director 8800 TECHNOLOGY FOREST PLACE THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Aguiar Eric director 888 7TH AVENUE 12TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10106
Coric Vlad director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Jones William A Jr officer: CCO-Migraine & Common Disease NITROMED, INC. 125 SPRING STREET LEXINGTON MA 02421
Conway Charles officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510

Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Headlines

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