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Baker Hughes Co Predictability Rank


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Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services subindustry, Baker Hughes Co's Predictability Rank, along with its competitors' market caps and Predictability Rank data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Baker Hughes Co Predictability Rank Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Baker Hughes Co's Predictability Rank distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Baker Hughes Co's Predictability Rank falls into.



Baker Hughes Co Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Baker Hughes Co Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Baker Hughes Co's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Baker Hughes Co Business Description

Baker Hughes Co logo
Industry
Energy » Oil & Gas NAICS : 213112 SIC : 1389
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
17021 Aldine Westfield Road, Houston, TX, USA, 77073-5101
Baker Hughes in its current form originated in 2017 from the merger of Baker Hughes with GE Oil & Gas. Baker Hughes' history of oilfield innovation stretches back over a century, and with the combination with GE, the company now can offer the full spectrum of services to oil and gas companies, from upstream to downstream.
Executives
General Electric Co director, 10 percent owner 5 NECCO STREET BOSTON MA 02210
Simonelli Lorenzo director, officer: Chairman, President and CEO 17021 ALDINE WESTFIELD ROAD HOUSTON TX 77073
Qasem Rami officer: EVP, Digital Solutions 17021 ALDINE WESTFIELD ROAD HOUSTON TX 77073
Ukpong Uwem officer: EVP, Global Operations 17021 ALDINE WESTFIELD ROAD HOUSTON TX 77073
Camilleri Kurt officer: SVP/Controller/Chief Acctg Off 17021 ALDINE WESTFIELD ROAD HOUSTON TX 77073
Saunders Neil officer: EVP, Oilfield Equipment 17021 ALDINE WESTFIELD ROAD HOUSTON TX 77073
Borras Maria C officer: EVP, Oilfield Services 2929 ALLEN PARKWAY, SUITE 2100 HOUSTON TX 77019
Worrell Brian officer: Chief Financial Officer 17021 ALDINE WESTFIELD ROAD HOUSTON TX 77073
Christie Roderick officer: EVP, Turbomachinery 17021 ALDINE WESTFIELD ROAD HOUSTON TX 77073
Fiorentino Michele officer: EVP, Strategy & Business Dev 17021 ALDINE WESTFIELD ROAD HOUSTON TX 77073
Brenneman Gregory D director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: BRENNEMAN GREGORY D a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Elsenhans Lynn Laverty director 6400 POPLAR AVENUE MEMPHIS TN 38197
Carroll Cynthia B director C/O ALCAN INC. 1188 SHERBROOKE STREET WEST MONTREAL A8 H3A 3G2
Ebel Gregory L director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: EBEL GREGORY L a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Rice John G director GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY 41 FARNSWORTH STREET BOSTON MA 02210

Baker Hughes Co Headlines

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