Alliance Holdings GP LP (Alliance Holdings GP LP) Free Cash Flow

: $436 Mil (TTM As of Mar. 2018)

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Alliance Holdings GP LP's total free cash flow for the months ended in Mar. 2018 was $173 Mil. Its total free cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2018 was $436 Mil.

Alliance Holdings GP LP's Free Cash Flow per Share for the months ended in Mar. 2018 was $2.89. Its free cash flow per share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2018 was $7.28.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate using Free Cash Flow per Share data.

Alliance Holdings GP LP Free Cash Flow Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alliance Holdings GP LP's Free Cash Flow can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alliance Holdings GP LP Annual Data

Trend

Dec08

Dec09

Dec10

Dec11

Dec12

Dec13

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Free Cash Flow

373.77

427.44

501.61

609.67

408.99

Alliance Holdings GP LP Quarterly Data
	Jun13	Sep13	Dec13	Mar14	Jun14	Sep14	Dec14	Mar15	Jun15	Sep15	Dec15	Mar16	Jun16	Sep16	Dec16	Mar17	Jun17	Sep17	Dec17	Mar18
Free Cash Flow																146.21	79.61	123.55	59.63	172.79

Alliance Holdings GP LP Free Cash Flow Calculation

Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a company's earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any year's Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company.

Alliance Holdings GP LP's Free Cash Flow for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2017 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (A: Dec. 2017 )	=	Cash Flow from Operations	+	Capital Expenditure
	=	554.082	+	-145.088
	=	409

Alliance Holdings GP LP's Free Cash Flow for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2018 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (Q: Mar. 2018 )	=	Cash Flow from Operations	+	Capital Expenditure
	=	224.311	+	-51.525
	=	173

Free Cash Flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2018 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $436 Mil.

Alliance Holdings GP LP (NAS:AHGP) Free Cash Flow Explanation

Free Cash Flow is very close to Warren Buffett's definition of Owner's Earnings, except that in Warren Buffett's Owner's Earnings, the spending for Property, Plant, and Equipment is only for maintenance (replacement), while in the Free Cash Flow calculation, the cost of new Property, Plant, and Equipment due to business expansion is also deducted. There, Free Cash Flow is more conservative than Owner's Earnings.

In Don Yacktman's calculation of forward rate of return, he uses Free Cash Flow for the calculation. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation.

This is what Yacktman said in his March 2012 interview - when the S&P 500 was at 1400:

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over seven years. The reason we use seven years is because research shows that seven years is the length of the typical business cycle.

Therefore, as of Mar18, Alliance Holdings GP LP's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % (Mar18)	=	Normalized Free Cash Flow	/	Price	+	5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
	=	7.93638095	/	25.01	+	-0.0107
	=	30.66 %

Be Aware

Free Cash Flow within a report period can be affected by management's decisions of capital spending. Therefore, it is important to look at long term when it comes to Free Cash Flow.

Alliance Holdings GP LP Free Cash Flow Related Terms

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Alliance Holdings GP LP (Alliance Holdings GP LP) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Steel » Alliance Holdings GP LP (NAS:AHGP) » Definitions » Free Cash Flow

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Website

http://www.ahgp.com

Alliance Holdings GP LP is a diversified producer and marketer of coal to U.S. utilities and industrial users that operate approximately ten underground mining complexes in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia. The company operates in five reportable segments which are the Illinois Basin, Central Appalachia, Northern Appalachia, White Oak and Other and Corporate.

Executives

Robert J Druten	director	6503 SENECA ROAD, MISSION HILLS KS 66208
Craft Joseph W Iii	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and Chief Executive	PO BOX 22027, TULSA OK 74121-2027
Cary P Marshall	officer: Vice President and Treasurer	PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121
Wilson M Torrence	director	1717 SOUTH BOULDER, SUITE 400, TULSA OK 74119
Michael J Hall	director	7438 EAST 68TH PLACE, TULSA OK 74133
Kathleen S. Craft	10 percent owner	2502 E. 45TH ST., TULSA OK 74105
Charles R Wesley	other: Member of 13d group (over 10%)	PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121
Thomas M Wynne	other: Member of 13d group (over 10%)	PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121
R Eberley Davis	officer: SVP-Law&Admin,General Counsel	1717 SOUTH BOULDER, SUITE 400, TULSA OK 74119
Brian L Cantrell	officer: Senior VP and CFO	P O BOX 22027, TULSA OK 74121
Dave A Gilbert	other: Member of 13d group (over 10%)	PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121
Dale G Wilkerson	other: Member of 13d group (over 10%)	PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121
A Wellford Tabor	other: Member of 13d group (over 10%)	2820 SELWYN AVE. SUITE 550 CHARLOTTE NC 28209
Thomas L Pearson	officer: Senior VP-Law & Adminstration	PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121
Gary J Rathburn	other: Member of 13d group (over 10%)	PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121