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Alliance Holdings GP LP (Alliance Holdings GP LP) Altman Z-Score : 2.42 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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Alliance Holdings GP LP Altman Z-Score Definition

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Alliance Holdings GP LP has a Altman Z-Score of 2.42, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Alliance Holdings GP LP is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alliance Holdings GP LP's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Alliance Holdings GP LP Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alliance Holdings GP LP's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alliance Holdings GP LP Annual Data
Trend Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.41 3.45 1.90 2.32 2.21

Alliance Holdings GP LP Quarterly Data
Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.45 2.36 2.30 2.21 2.30

Competitive Comparison

For the Coking Coal subindustry, Alliance Holdings GP LP's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alliance Holdings GP LP Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Alliance Holdings GP LP's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alliance Holdings GP LP's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Alliance Holdings GP LP Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Alliance Holdings GP LP's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0169+1.4*0+3.3*0.1765+0.6*1.6927+1.0*0.7982
=2.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2018:
Total Assets was $2,245 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $295 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $257 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 155.469 + 74.095 + 60.947 + 62.877 = $353 Mil.
Interest Expense was -10.858 + -10.481 + -10.773 + -10.615 = $-43 Mil.
Revenue was 457.036 + 483.13 + 453.087 + 398.619 = $1,792 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $1,698 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,003 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(295.402 - 257.362)/2244.768
=0.0169

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=0/2244.768
=0

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(353.388 - -42.727)/2244.768
=0.1765

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1698.310/1003.317
=1.6927

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1791.872/2244.768
=0.7982

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Alliance Holdings GP LP has a Altman Z-Score of 2.42 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Alliance Holdings GP LP  (NAS:AHGP) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Alliance Holdings GP LP Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Alliance Holdings GP LP (Alliance Holdings GP LP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Alliance Holdings GP LP is a diversified producer and marketer of coal to U.S. utilities and industrial users that operate approximately ten underground mining complexes in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia. The company operates in five reportable segments which are the Illinois Basin, Central Appalachia, Northern Appalachia, White Oak and Other and Corporate.
Executives
Robert J Druten director 6503 SENECA ROAD, MISSION HILLS KS 66208
Craft Joseph W Iii director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and Chief Executive PO BOX 22027, TULSA OK 74121-2027
Cary P Marshall officer: Vice President and Treasurer PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121
Wilson M Torrence director 1717 SOUTH BOULDER, SUITE 400, TULSA OK 74119
Michael J Hall director 7438 EAST 68TH PLACE, TULSA OK 74133
Kathleen S. Craft 10 percent owner 2502 E. 45TH ST., TULSA OK 74105
Charles R Wesley other: Member of 13d group (over 10%) PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121
Thomas M Wynne other: Member of 13d group (over 10%) PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121
R Eberley Davis officer: SVP-Law&Admin,General Counsel 1717 SOUTH BOULDER, SUITE 400, TULSA OK 74119
Brian L Cantrell officer: Senior VP and CFO P O BOX 22027, TULSA OK 74121
Dave A Gilbert other: Member of 13d group (over 10%) PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121
Dale G Wilkerson other: Member of 13d group (over 10%) PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121
A Wellford Tabor other: Member of 13d group (over 10%) 2820 SELWYN AVE. SUITE 550 CHARLOTTE NC 28209
Thomas L Pearson officer: Senior VP-Law & Adminstration PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121
Gary J Rathburn other: Member of 13d group (over 10%) PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121