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AHH (Armada Hoffler Properties) Altman Z-Score : 0.64 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Armada Hoffler Properties Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.64 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Armada Hoffler Properties has a Altman Z-Score of 0.64, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Armada Hoffler Properties's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AHH' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.46   Med: 0.74   Max: 1.1
Current: 0.64

During the past 13 years, Armada Hoffler Properties's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.10. The lowest was 0.46. And the median was 0.74.


Armada Hoffler Properties Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Armada Hoffler Properties's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Armada Hoffler Properties Altman Z-Score Chart

Armada Hoffler Properties Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.76 0.67 0.76 0.74 0.46

Armada Hoffler Properties Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.49 0.46 0.54 0.58 0.64

Competitive Comparison of Armada Hoffler Properties's Altman Z-Score

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Armada Hoffler Properties's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Armada Hoffler Properties's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Armada Hoffler Properties's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Armada Hoffler Properties's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Armada Hoffler Properties Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Armada Hoffler Properties's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0559+1.4*-0.087+3.3*0.0273+0.6*0.5162+1.0*0.2955
=0.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was $2,561.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $321.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $178.3 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-222.8 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -6.954 + 2.033 + 18.259 + -20.567 = $-7.2 Mil.
Interest Expense was -21.387 + -21.227 + -17.975 + -16.435 = $-77.0 Mil.
Revenue was 187.652 + 184.736 + 193.482 + 191.033 = $756.9 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $867.1 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,679.6 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(321.436 - 178.273)/2561.139
=0.0559

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-222.839/2561.139
=-0.087

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-7.229 - -77.024)/2561.139
=0.0273

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=867.068/1679.647
=0.5162

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=756.903/2561.139
=0.2955

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Armada Hoffler Properties has a Altman Z-Score of 0.64 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Armada Hoffler Properties  (NYSE:AHH) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Armada Hoffler Properties Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Armada Hoffler Properties Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
222 Central Park Avenue, Suite 2100, Virginia Beach, VA, USA, 23462
Armada Hoffler Properties Inc is a real estate company. It engages in developing, building, owning and managing the high-quality, institutional-grade office, retail, and multifamily properties in various markets throughout the Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern United States. They lease our properties under operating leases and recognize base rents. It also recognize revenue from tenant recoveries, through which tenants reimburses the company for expenses paid by them such as utilities, janitorial, repairs and maintenance. The company's operating segment includes office real estate, retail real estate, multifamily residential real estate, and general contracting and real estate services. It generates maximum revenue from the general contracting and real estate services segment.
Executives
Eric E. Apperson officer: Vice President 222 CENTRAL PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2100, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23462
A Russell Kirk director 3720 VIRGINIA BEACH BLVD, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23452
Dennis H. Gartman director C/O ARMADA HOFFLER PROPERTIES, INC., 222 CENTRAL PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2100, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23462
James C. Cherry director C/O PARK STERLING BANK, 1043 EAST MOREHEAD STREET, SUITE 201, CHARLOTTE NC 28204
James A Carroll director 222 CENTRAL PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2100, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23462
Daniel A Hoffler director 4171 ESSEN LANE, BATON ROUGE LA 70809
George F Allen director 222 CENTRAL PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2100, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23462
Louis S Haddad director, officer: President, CEO 222 CENTRAL PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2100, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23462
Matthew Barnes-smith officer: CFO, Treasurer and Secretary C/O ARMADA HOFFLER PROPERTIES, INC., 222 CENTRAL PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2100, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23462
Michael P O'hara officer: Treasurer, CFO 222 CENTRAL PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2100, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23462
John W. Snow director C/O MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION, 539 S. MAIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840
Shawn J Tibbetts officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O ARMADA HOFFLER PROPERTIES, INC., 222 CENTRAL PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2100, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23462
Dorothy Mcauliffe director C/O ARMADA HOFFLER PROPERTIES, INC., 222 CENTRAL PARK AVENUE SUITE 2100, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23462
Eva S Hardy director ARMADA HOFFLER PROPERTIES, 222 CENTRAL PARK AVE, STE 2100, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23462
Anthony P. Nero officer: Vice President 222 CENTRAL PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2100, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23462