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Antero Resources (Antero Resources) Altman Z-Score

: 1.30 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.3 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Antero Resources has a Altman Z-Score of 1.30, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Antero Resources's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AR' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.09   Med: 0.86   Max: 1.98
Current: 1.3

During the past 13 years, Antero Resources's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.98. The lowest was -0.09. And the median was 0.86.


Antero Resources Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Antero Resources's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Antero Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.34 -0.09 0.65 1.98 1.12

Antero Resources Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.98 1.95 1.56 1.38 1.12

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Antero Resources's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Antero Resources Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Antero Resources's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Antero Resources's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Antero Resources Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Antero Resources's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0717+1.4*0.0831+3.3*0.0393+0.6*1.3801+1.0*0.3142
=1.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $13,619 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $476 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,452 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $1,132 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 145.914 + 46.305 + -97.766 + 323.385 = $418 Mil.
Interest Expense was -32.608 + -31.634 + -27.928 + -25.7 = $-118 Mil.
Revenue was 1107.311 + 1061.959 + 893.61 + 1216.094 = $4,279 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $8,840 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $6,405 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(475.692 - 1452.091)/13619.414
=-0.0717

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1131.828/13619.414
=0.0831

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(417.838 - -117.87)/13619.414
=0.0393

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=8839.902/6405.312
=1.3801

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=4278.974/13619.414
=0.3142

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Antero Resources has a Altman Z-Score of 1.30 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Antero Resources  (NYSE:AR) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Antero Resources Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Antero Resources's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Antero Resources (Antero Resources) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1615 Wynkoop Street, Denver, CO, USA, 80202
Antero Resources, based in Denver, engages in the exploration for and production of natural gas and natural gas liquids in the United States and Canada. At the end of 2022, the company reported proven reserves of 17.8 trillion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent. Production averaged approximately 3,205 million cubic feet of equivalent a day in 2022 at a ratio of 32% liquids and 68% natural gas.
Executives
Sheri Pearce officer: See Remarks 1615 WYNKOOP ST., DENVER CO 80202
Michael N. Kennedy officer: Senior Vice President Finance 707 - 17TH STREET, SUITE 3600, DENVER CO 80202
Keenan W Howard Jr director 410 PARK AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Robert J Clark director 1401 17TH STREET, SUITE 1200, DENVER CO 80202
W Patrick Ash officer: See Remarks 400 N. SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY E. SUITE 1200, HOUSTON TX 77060
Yvette K Schultz officer: See Remarks. 1615 WYNKOOP STREET, DENVER CO 80202
Brenda R Schroer director 600 W. ILLINOIS AVENUE, ONE CONCHO CENTER, MIDLAND TX 79701
Jacqueline C Mutschler director 2000 ST. JAMES PLACE, HOUSTON TX 77056
Vicky Sutil director 10889 WILSHIRE BLVD., LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Tyree Thomas B Jr director 410 - 17TH STREET, SUITE 1400, DENVER CO 80202
Warburg Pincus Llc 10 percent owner 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
James R. Levy director C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Warburg Pincus Private Equity X O&g, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Peter Kagan director C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Paul M Rady director, officer: See Remarks 1625 17TH STREET, DENVER CO 80202